SectorVue - David Schultz
@SectorVue
Risk analysis, Sector rotation, Weatlthbuilder, and total return stocks. Tweets are not recommendations. Request sample Sector Alert to [email protected]
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Expected turbulence with a tariff deadline coming April 2nd. Ukraine and Gaza war is still ongoing. A resolution to any or all of these would be very positive for markets. Be stingy but take advantage of the volatility to by winning stocks are lower prices. #buylowsellhigh For a…
Are Chinese investors piling into gold with a shaky economy and political situation in China?
This is the type of headline you’d expect when gold prices hit a milestone record high, as they did this morning. Yet, as noted in yesterday’s posts and several earlier ones, this surge is occurring alongside “risk-on” indicators — such as the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, and others —…
There is definitely some selling into the Semiconductor SMH surge this week, and the stocks are generally down today. I would describe this as trimming positions which became too large rather than a Sell on the Sector. Manage the risk and the profits will take care of themseles.…
Look out for the treeeee!
Treat Capital as a resource for stability and investing in the future. Not pieces of paper to print and throw around like confetti.
I wanted to point out something that I think folks miss - because they deeply disagree: I DO NOT see oil spike as reason for next inflation wave - like SO MANY fear. I see METALS: Gold, silver, copper, palladium, platinum… And THIS isn’t a “commodity super cycle” with oil.…
Is it a breakout if your own buy signal causes the volume and price increase?
All Bitcoin needs now is jokes from the late-night hosts monologues!
In the week ending on September 27, 2025, domestic raw steel production was up 6.8 percent from the same period in the previous year. Production for the week ending September 27, 2025 is up 0.9 percent from the previous week ending September 20, 2025. No recession here.
And if you could predict stock prices you would quit being financial media and start a hedge fund as quickly as you possible. :)
Great discussion with @philbak1 on the state of financial media and why it is still really difficult to predict stock prices. open.substack.com/pub/philbak/p/…
Getting close to melt-up territory when investors realize the base is set for growth and capital investment.
Prices are not going up in proportion to the tariffs and buyers are looking to Buy American when they can.
Still no big alarming sign of tariff induced inflation… in fact goods prices increases are decelerating. core goods ex vehicles (which have been volatile) up 0.13% this month In June those goods prices were rising 0.55%.
I don't expect any change in policy from Chair Powell in his speech. The ghost of tariff price adjustments still looms despite energy and even housing prices declining. The high Fed Funds rate is causing an undertow in the labor market and hurts lower-income brackets the most.…
This also gives the US a commercial presence in Ukraine. Let the Europeans send tanks and troops to protect their geographic vulnerability.
The United States–Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund ensures American taxpayers benefit from rebuilding Ukraine. President Trump is turning conflict into economic partnership and making sure our investments pay off at home.
New home builders are much more sensitive to the market, as they are usually trying to sell a group of homes and hit the price points according to demand and their costs, including the cost of carry. For more [email protected]
The interest on money market funds is more volatile and less reliable (as the chart shows) than a portfolio of dividend stocks or a laddered bond portfolio. For as for research at [email protected]
…and where does this nifty nugget leave Fed officials?
Before the war in Ukraine, less than 1% of India’s oil came from Russia. Now it is 42%. The system is allowing India to profiteer by buying cheap Russian oil, reselling it, and pocketing $16B in excess profits. This opportunistic arbitrage is unacceptable.
Insurance companies would also like interest rates to stay higher as well, so they can earn on their substantial reserves. This is another reason why rates never should have been at zero.
Closing the loop on @VikingCruises strong 2026 guidance: @pboockvar on conundrum vexing @federalreserve leaders regardless of its data dependency: "These cruisers (do) NOT want Fed to cut interest rates (as) they're benefiting tremendously from interest income on their savings."
Truflation gets it right. Fed Funds should have been lowered already to avoid a recession and further economic slowdown. NYFed Nowcast also shows declines in GDP.
🚨 So, where is US inflation heading now? 🇺🇸 Markets called it “lower than expected”. But here in the Truflation community, we knew better. It was -exactly- what we expected. But how did we know? 📽️ This video breaks it down—clear as day—showing you how we track inflation and…
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