TheRealPlanC's profile picture. Founder/CEO — http://QuantileInvesting.com ⎮ Creator of the Bitcoin Quantile Model ⎮ Building Signature Models for Key Assets ⎮ Not Financial Advice

PlanC

@TheRealPlanC

Founder/CEO — http://QuantileInvesting.com ⎮ Creator of the Bitcoin Quantile Model ⎮ Building Signature Models for Key Assets ⎮ Not Financial Advice

Bitcoin: A 10% pullback in a bull market is nothing.


Bitcoin will recover. Your altcoin might not...


Bitcoin: Too many piled into longs expecting up-only, so we got a leverage flush and deleveraging. Short-term BTC trading is a losing game for most; social media hides the losers and amplifies the winners. Over time, long-term investors beat traders by a wide margin.


Bitcoin: $113,565 Why I’m NOT worried. We’re still in a bull market: price sits above the 200-day SMA ($106,800) and slightly under the STH cost basis ($114,000). That’s perfectly fine. The pattern has been—and still is—that Bitcoin chops in ranges, builds a base, then steps…


Bitcoin: Everyone posting that $126k was the cycle top will delete their posts in the next week or two.


Bitcoin: I’m NOT saying this is my base case — but as a thought experiment: what if Bitcoin bounces around between $110K and $130K for the next 3–6 months? What would you do? Would you sell, get shaken out, and start thinking we’re not going any higher this cycle? Have a plan…


Trading Bitcoin is a terrible idea compared to long-term investing, and shorting Bitcoin during a bull market is even worse. 🤦‍♂️

TheRealPlanC's tweet image. Trading Bitcoin is a terrible idea compared to long-term investing, and shorting Bitcoin during a bull market is even worse. 🤦‍♂️

Bitcoin: Looks like I was off by three days. Pretty solid prediction.

TheRealPlanC's tweet image. Bitcoin: Looks like I was off by three days. 

Pretty solid prediction.

What do you think?

Bitcoin: Sentiment check The highest price in 2025 will be closest to?



Looks like my prediction back in August, when Bitcoin was at $111,000, that we would reach an all-time high before the end of September will be off by just a few days. Definitely close and directionally correct. Back then, a lot of people were very bearish and overall sentiment…


If you sold some or all of your Bitcoin thinking the cycle was over, you were wrong. It’s that simple. Don’t trade Bitcoin. Now you either have to chase, or hope the price somehow drops back below your sell points—which may never happen. Especially if the 4-year cycle breaks…


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