Bitcoin Vector
@bitcoinvector
Institutional grade reports and real time signals for funds, family offices and market professionals by @swissblock__ and @woonomic.
Bitcoin is still in a high-risk regime, but the signal is slowly stabilizing Selling pressure is weakening, and spot demand (which never disappeared) is finally making the difference The key question: has the worst passed? We’ll know when BTC retests $94K–$95K, the decisive…
Bitcoin is attacking $90K, but we are still in a high-risk environment and momentum has not ignited. Bitcoin must brew momentum to break the compression forming since the ATH. The bullish path is clear: 🔸A first close inside the $89K–$90K zone. 🔸Consolidation above this…
How BTC Dominance reacted after the FTX collapse? Price fell sharply, but BTC Dominance gradually expanded. That was the real signal that capitulation was ending. When fear peaks, capital retreats into Bitcoin, not alts. Fast forward to today: we still don’t have that…
Sixty weeks later, we’re back at a Risk-Off reading of 100. Every past extreme like this marked seller exhaustion and a major bottom, supported by steady spot demand. Even if the full bottom isn’t in yet, a technical relief is getting close. x.com/swissblock__/s…
The Risk-Off Signal is just inches from the capitulation zone, the same zone that has marked major BTC bottoms in the past two years. We’re entering the final stretch of seller exhaustion. Once it rolls over, BTC snaps into a bottoming phase with sharp, fast rebounds.
BTC liquidity is tight and needs to reset into full exhaustion. Every reset has led to stabilization and recovery. Macro signals suggest we’re entering the late phase of the current correction, not a deeper bear market, not yet. x.com/Macrovector_/s…
The current Risk-Off phase did its job: flush, stabilize, reset expectations. Now macro sensitivity is turning and liquidity stress is easing — classic signals that the regime is preparing to exit fragility and move back toward liquidity stability, where cleaner trend structures…
Nvidia earnings release isn’t a Risk-Off igniter by itself. The environment starts overheating before the release as the market prices in expectations. After earnings, we could see pressure unwind in the short term, and Risk-Off Signal easing. x.com/swissblock__/s…
Nvidia earnings have become a macro pivot for the entire market. When NVDA beats and guides higher, liquidity expectations improve and tech (and risk) sentiment strengthens. BTC responds indirectly but consistently, stabilizing or bouncing within 24–72 hours. When Nvidia…
Downside volatility is easing, but selling pressure stays heavy as short-term holders panic-sell. Spot demand helps absorb it, though too discreet against the intensity. BTC stabilizes once the Risk-Off Signal starts showing exhaustion. x.com/glassnode/stat…
The realized loss of short-term holders has surged, with the 7D-EMA reaching $427M/day, the highest level since Nov 2022. Panic selling is elevated & clearly rising, now exceeding the loss levels seen at the last two major lows of this cycle. 📉 glassno.de/47MRRYV
The Risk-Off Signal is hinting at a more complex phase, echoing February–April. The sequence unfolded in 3 stages: 1⃣ Early Transition: selling pressure rising but controlled 2⃣ Full Risk-Off: the hard leg as selling expands and liquidity thins 3⃣ Exit Phase: pressure eases…
We are in the final steps of a bottoming process, one that still needs more time. The Risk-Off Signal stays in low-risk, telling us selling pressure is heavy but not destabilizing. This mirrors late August–early September: stress rises, yet no structural break. Spot demand…
The market’s focus is turning toward $94K–$95K, the next major accumulation zone and a critical inflection point for Bitcoin’s structure. It’s also the annual open, a level that could trigger extreme fear and capitulation; yet for long-term holders, that same panic often marks…
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