ctrlopenbracket's profile picture. locked account = taking an X break, mostly

f5 enter

@ctrlopenbracket

locked account = taking an X break, mostly

10 bcfd of new Permian gas pipes that have been FID’d, and now we have 5 handle WTI Congrats midstream Look forward to Waha trading $1.50 below TTF


lol $6.40 henry hub, may as well build your data center on Mars

4/ The math is brutal. Baseline Henry Hub at $3.20/MMBtu. A 100% spike to $6.40? Electricity jumps 40% to $119/MWh. That adds $25M/year to a single facility’s OpEx. For the 6GW US build-out in 2025 (60 x 100MW sites), that’s an extra $1.5B annually.



Below is what the Goldman utes analyst attributes higher power prices to on the US coasts Basically reasons 1-3 are in some form attributable to net zero goals/mandates and anti-O&G infrastructure development Last is T&D….so no, it’s not just poles and wires

ctrlopenbracket's tweet image. Below is what the Goldman utes analyst attributes higher power prices to on the US coasts

Basically reasons 1-3 are in some form attributable to net zero goals/mandates and anti-O&G infrastructure development 

Last is T&D….so no, it’s not just poles and wires

Incredibly bullish. Someone tell me the ticker

*FIRST BRANDS CREDITOR SAYS UP TO $2.3 BILLION "SIMPLY VANISHED"



US oil demand (ex NGLs) looks like it could have peaked to me

ctrlopenbracket's tweet image. US oil demand (ex NGLs) looks like it could have peaked to me

Narrative: peak oil demand Reality: US oil demand is growing



Easier for O&G industry to build and spend $50B on mostly intrastate pipes (no federal permitting) and >$150B on TX/LA liquefaction for intl export than to build interstate pipes on US coasts for domestic use (cheap power!) 25+bcfd (150+ GW equivalent) could end up exported

Energy companies to spend $50bn on new US pipelines as they tap into gas boom Record LNG exports and growing electricity demand from data centres have created supply bottlenecks ft.com/content/fb244a…



Literally the only thing the country needs to do to prevent runaway power prices is allow and encourage the permitting and construction of interstate gas pipes Stopping literal net zero grid nonsense would also help

“Electricity rates will double…it’s a huge PR crisis.” Due to AI, “your energy is doubling and [AI] could take your jobs.” @chamath and @jason are 100% correct about this and the risk the public will turn angrily against Big Tech.



The good news is 500k of the builds was SPR

That is a hideous EIA oil storage report. Hideous.



GS just now on oil: “The risks to our 2025-2026 price forecast are two-sided but skewed modestly to the upside” Wonder how the perma bulls will reconcile this thesis with the idea that GS is an oil contra


Conoco down bad

In terms of meaningful vols, we are down to Saudi, Iraq and degree to which UAE goes above quota. This seems more like an accounting adjustment and will help highlight how limited OPEC spare capacity appears to be.



Morgan Stanley drawing lines on some liquids demand chart. Trend has not been good Oil supply side been uninteresting for awhile now but gets all the attention Crude transportation demand has to inflect for oil to work. Lower rates will help

ctrlopenbracket's tweet image. Morgan Stanley drawing lines on some liquids demand chart. Trend has not been good

Oil supply side been uninteresting for awhile now but gets all the attention

Crude transportation demand has to inflect for oil to work. Lower rates will help

Utes now blaming data centers only because they can’t blame natural gas. Just wait if gas sustainably goes above $5. Will start hearing about LNG export quotas

The average price of electricity per Kilowatt-hour in the United States.

KoyfinCharts's tweet image. The average price of electricity per Kilowatt-hour in the United States.


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