jakubpolec's profile picture. Building Profitable Algo Strategies | Quantitative Researcher & Dev | Financial Data Scientist | ML Investing | Sharing Code for Algorithmic Systems | PhD

Jakub Polec

@jakubpolec

Building Profitable Algo Strategies | Quantitative Researcher & Dev | Financial Data Scientist | ML Investing | Sharing Code for Algorithmic Systems | PhD

🚨 How to play it in future: Liquidity ↑ (TGA↓ or RRP↓) → Gold ↑ Liquidity ↓ (TGA↑ or RRP↑) → Gold ↓


Correlation of gold vs. DXY ≈ −0.7 (strong). Correlation of gold vs. real yields ≈ −0.8 (very strong). Correlation of gold vs. net liquidity ≈ +0.4 to +0.6 (moderate, regime-dependent)


context extended - it's the main AI feature people are requesting now.


True. @linasbeliunas very good slide.

jakubpolec's tweet image. True. @linasbeliunas very good slide.

TGA ↓ → Liquidity ↓ → SPX ↓ RRP ↑ → Liquidity ↓ → SPX ↓


You know what it means.

jakubpolec's tweet image. You know what it means.

Agree, thnx

🇪🇺 Telegram sent this message to all its users in France regarding Chat Control. People must know the names of those who try to steal their freedoms: Today, the European Union nearly banned your right to privacy. It was set to vote on a law that would force apps to scan every…



he's better than Musk at his best years.

The stock market just erased -$450 billion in 7 minutes because President Trump threatened to start producing cooking oil in the US.

KobeissiLetter's tweet image. The stock market just erased -$450 billion in 7 minutes because President Trump threatened to start producing cooking oil in the US.


True

China doesn’t dominate the mining of rare earth elements, which are not really rare. China absolutely dominates the refining capacity of REE.

stevehou0's tweet image. China doesn’t dominate the mining of rare earth elements, which are not really rare. China absolutely dominates the refining capacity of REE.


So you know

Rare earths have been very important for Trump. Between a Ukraine deal and the US-China trade war, Trump has prioritized rare earths. These metals are CRUCIAL for the production of weapons, chips, AI, and strategic leverage. The US gets ~70% of its rare earths from China.

KobeissiLetter's tweet image. Rare earths have been very important for Trump.

Between a Ukraine deal and the US-China trade war, Trump has prioritized rare earths.

These metals are CRUCIAL for the production of weapons, chips, AI, and strategic leverage.

The US gets ~70% of its rare earths from China.


He wrote this in his book years ago. Agree with him.

BREAKING: Ray Dalio now expects a Civil War.

SpencerHakimian's tweet image. BREAKING: Ray Dalio now expects a Civil War.


Jakub Polec 已轉發

Silver has entered what I call "the wrecking ball" stage of the rally; this is when the volatility is ramping up and the silver futures market is running stop-loss orders on both sides of the market. I can envision a correction back to the $45-$46 area, followed by another…

CEOTechnician's tweet image. Silver has entered what I call "the wrecking ball" stage of the rally; this is when the volatility is ramping up and the silver futures market is running stop-loss orders on both sides of the market. 

I can envision a correction back to the $45-$46 area, followed by another…

Don’t be fooled, the trend is clear.

This is silver's 30-min chart. There is no silver crash, just a small blip...

hajiyev_rashad's tweet image. This is silver's 30-min chart. There is no silver crash, just a small blip...


Whatever you say AI is deflationary.


Silver in 5% backwardation → possible short squeeze


Clear, don’t trust anyone, mostly people for whom you’re nobody.

At the peak of the Housing Bubble 2008 Fed Chair Bernake told the American people that the housing bubble causing a recession was highly unlikely and prices going down -50% was unlikely. Stocks prices fell -50% & housing prices nationally fell -20%



Ponzi == Nvidia.

jakubpolec's tweet image. Ponzi == Nvidia.

We made a lot of money by the decision to not to be fully invested - Warren Buffett.


As per our work recently - complex systems emerge from Iterations on simple designs


Volatility is now being driven by excitement, not fear. The VIX is rising because speculation has reached extreme levels. There’s also a growing gap between realized volatility (how much the market actually moves) and implied volatility (how much traders expect it to move).…


United States 趨勢

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