John
@market_sleuth
God is the source of my purpose: Job 42:2 | Started unraveling stock market riddles in 1992🔎📈📉 | I also play synthesizers. 🎹
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With all the “Roaring Kitty is going to jail” posts on X can anyone explain to me in 5th grade English how sharing a legal trade you made in a company with $200M of your own money is illegal? 🔽
$SPY closed at essentially $652. The 3DTE calls at $652 are 66% more expensive than the $652 puts. This is why you avoid options during steep drawdowns. MM’s will fleece you.
Monday Trading Pointers. Saturday 10/11/25 Update. 1) Columbus Day Monday. Bond market closed. Stock market open. Low volume trading expected. 2) Japan's Sports Day national holiday Mon. $NIKKEI is closed. US tech market is without its compass overnight. 3) $VIX crush expected…
Worth noting that Trump not canceling the meeting with Xi is not the 🌮. The whole plan behind this escalation is to create a situation where both parties feel compelled to negotiate. To create an outcome that gives them 'wins' for their respective countries.
Neither Xi nor Trump want this escalation. They want to use it as a tool to try to negotiate with extra leverage by November 1st. Expect more headlines. Progress = upside risk, lack there of = downside risk.
Moby has been one of my favorite techno artists for decades. What I didn’t know is that he & Jane Goodall were close friends. He interviewed her shortly before her death. Good people attract good people. 💯😊
Those who post for only one market direction I avoid. Case in point. Since Friday, the "stonks never go down" big account furus are silent. Likewise, I avoid the "financial armageddon" crowd too. I seek folks who present balanced market views without the hopium.
🔔Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday at 12:20 PM on the economic outlook and monetary policy.
Advice for Monday. I'd keep position size small & avoid option trading on indexes. Why? Friday was an earthquake (financially speaking) & they have aftershocks. Let the dust settle before plowing in. The $SPX expected move is +/- 160 handles for the week. That's a bit.
The new cringe on X? Folks posting 6 figure losses last Friday as a badge of honor. The reality is all they are trying to do is show how much money they have. It's sad that folks think that an account balance defines who they are.
Next weeks expected move (EM) for $SPY is +-16.08...This is the largest EM since the trading week of 4/21/25. An interesting thing to note about that week, price actually tagged the lower EM on day 1 of the week, and by the end of the week it closed outside the upper! Now, that…
On Thursday the S&P 500 was at an all-time high. On Friday it crashed more than -2.5% Such quick pullbacks from all-time highs always saw the S&P go higher 3-12 months later. This is not the end.
Strictly off of technicals on the hourly chart, a retracement to the broken lower trendline of the ascending wedge for $SPY is the Sept 22 close, $666.8
Everyone Wants the Plant. Few Plant the Seed. In the age of social media, everything moves at the speed of instant gratification. People chase followers, likes, and quick reactions to market movements. That constant demand for immediacy spills over into how they approach…
The cat is Bessent, the baby is Trump & the bear ...is well ... the Wall Street bear 🤣🐻
Trading PSA: I’d recommend studying the price action of Dec 18, 2024 & the subsequent 2 weeks after. It will serve you well as you formulate your trading strategies for the coming week. Friday’s price action was a mirror image of that day. 💯
When the NFT craze hit in 2021 I shook my head as people paid hundreds of thousands for a digital image. Then they imploded like the tulips of the 1600’s. Fast forward to 2025 & they paid hundreds of thousands for mass tokens of “Fartcoin” or “Tittycoin” & now they are…
I was in the Annapolis Naval cemetery after my 10K jaunt this morning & was moved to tears by this. A brave man who fought for freedom but now without a name. ✝️🇺🇸
Time to call it a day. All I can say is today was a really great trading day. Mr VIX will always be my best friend. He tells you so much if you just take the time to listen. Good night.
Generally yes :-)
How I’ve traded limit down events: In 33 years I’ve traded through 9 of them. The highest return trade in recent years was to short the VIX at the cash open of the limit down with buying an inverse ETF like $SVXY or buy 2-3x bullish S&P 500 ETF’s like SPXL. In the old days before…
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