Boris Sobolev
@soboleffspaces
𝗦𝗰𝗵𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗿/𝗔𝘂𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗿/𝗧𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗿 • causality in plain language •
Anda mungkin suka
To me, the study unit is the juiciest and most often overlooked element of @yudapearl's SCM theory. 1. The main quantity of interest in causal analysis is the potential outcome Y_x(u): - the treatment outcome that unit u would exhibit under treatment x. 2. We treat the study…
Thank you, Elias, for pointing out inaccuracies, which seem unavoidable when engaging with your cutting-edge articles. The good news is that we are reading your incredible work! I understand, of course, that using SCM and CTFBN interchangeably can be an irritant. Yet, are they…
I'm not getting into the other layers for now, but it feels like a bit too relaxed a discussion (mixing different things). I would frame it differently, as we did in several papers (including the one cited above) and in Ch. 20 of my textbook. I recommend reading it, as there are…
I’ll be on another panel soon — this time with Moment Magazine! I’ll talk about AI, causality, and why I take real pleasure in sharing the miracle of Israel, precisely when so many turn against her. momentmag.com/supporting-sub…
momentmag.com
Become a Moment Supporting Subscriber
Become a Moment Supporting Subscriber
'Can we make use of the ladder of causation to make accurate predictions?' was the text message on my phone. The professor in me couldn't resist FaceTiming the contact. Pearl's Ladder of causal claims orders the questions we ask: - what is it we see - what will we see if we act…
Don’t miss Dr. Lionel Jouffe's talk at the 2025 BayesiaLab Conference on Nov. 6 about how graph intelligence makes AI explainable and actionable. #bayesialab #bayesiannetworks #causality #reasoning #artificialintelligence bayesia.com/bayesialab/con…
Opioid prescribing in Canada: a continued retreat from God’s own medicine Thank you @DavidJuurlink for the insightful commentary! “Laypeople and clinicians alike often view opioids as the analgesic gold standard, even though rigorous studies show nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory…
![soboleffspaces's tweet card. [See related article at www.cmaj.ca/lookup/doi/10.1503/cmaj.250670][1] Key points In this issue’s research article, Rebić and colleagues show that rates of opioid prescribing across 6 Canadian...](https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1983997075374088192/PjikM2zU?format=jpg&name=orig)
Exactly! The historical struggle of statistical reasoning with causation shouldn't distract even the most brilliant statisticians from acknowledging that estimand AIN'T estimator. CI is after the causal estimand (ATE/Pr benefit) and identification assumptions. Estimators…
Progress!!! @f2harrell agrees that the philosophy of causal inference (CI) is necessary for trialists to follow. He adds that it is not sufficient but does not explain why it "does not lead to minimal bias estimators" when it out-sources the estimation job to the most brilliant…
The field’s leading figures, say @eliasbareinboim @murat_kocaoglu_ are AI researchers themselves. @eliasbareinboim even wrote a textbook Causal AI. No surprise, it’s based on Pearl’s SCM and Causal Hierarchy. ‘This textbook offers a comprehensive treatment of the principles,…
My plea is that you, the CI field, devote 30% of the energy spent arguing with clinicians and econometricians over trivial problems toward engaging with statistical learning theorists and AI researchers.
Happy to share the link to the published dissertation @JacobJHutton open.library.ubc.ca/soa/cIRcle/col…
Congratulations to @JacobJHutton on a successful defense! What a feast for causal inference: causal diagrams, minimal adjustment sets, mediation analysis, direct and indirect effects, probability of benefit — all in the context of cutting-edge clinical practice! @yudapearl…
I wanted to present your work as an epistemological project; and to move beyond the bad infinity (die schlechte Unendlichkeit) of twittering about 'finite samples' and 'missing-data problem'. AI advances have brought us back to the real questions: What is knowledge? How do we…
I truly appreciate your clear summary of Kant's contributions to epistemology. I never understood why philosophers revere him the way they do -- now I do. @soboleffspaces
I’m a Pearlian! I follow and advocate for the epistemological approach of Judea Pearl. You can call me Жемчужников.
So are you a realist then? Again, I said framework. The what about it is what would your answer be. If the way I phrased it was imprecise, okay. But if not, your reaction is curious. The fact that regression was created at all would imply it offered some utility.
While bureaucrats and the “concerned citizenry” panic about chatbots, LLMs are busy doing what they can’t — making us more productive. Here’s a figure Overleaf generated from LaTeX code that Gemini 2.5 Pro writes from my verbal (3 sentences) description of this NCM architecture!…
United States Tren
- 1. Broncos 45.9K posts
- 2. Raiders 51.8K posts
- 3. Bo Nix 12.2K posts
- 4. Geno 11.9K posts
- 5. Sean Payton 3,196 posts
- 6. Kenny Pickett 1,094 posts
- 7. #TNFonPrime 3,243 posts
- 8. Jeanty 5,606 posts
- 9. Bradley Beal 1,994 posts
- 10. Chip Kelly 1,134 posts
- 11. #911onABC 24.7K posts
- 12. #RaiderNation 3,291 posts
- 13. #WickedOneWonderfulNight 4,156 posts
- 14. Cynthia 44.4K posts
- 15. Al Michaels N/A
- 16. GTA 6 21.7K posts
- 17. AJ Cole N/A
- 18. #LVvsDEN 3,633 posts
- 19. Jalen Green 3,488 posts
- 20. BYERS 21.3K posts
Anda mungkin suka
-
CAUSALab
@CAUSALab -
Judea Pearl
@yudapearl -
Elias Bareinboim
@eliasbareinboim -
Peng Ding
@pengding00 -
Sander Greenland
@Lester_Domes -
Análise Real
@analisereal -
Frank Harrell
@f2harrell -
Brady Neal
@CasualBrady -
Mark van der Laan
@mark_vdlaan -
Martin Huber
@CausalHuber -
Joshua Loftus
@joftius -
Jeffrey Wooldridge
@jmwooldridge -
Gary King
@kinggary -
Solomon Kurz
@SolomonKurz -
Sepp Hochreiter
@HochreiterSepp
Something went wrong.
Something went wrong.