#baserateneglect search results
Upgraded from post-it math to spreadsheet math. Many people still believe that a positive result on a test with X% accuracy means they're infected with X% probability. #BaseRateNeglect
Once again: #CommonErrors , #BaseRateNeglect You are in a totally different part of the algorithm than the majority of users Mr. Musk. For many of us we lost 70% of our reach under the new Silo Conservation Algorithm. You doubtfully lost any.
Fun with numbers: if there’s an infection that affects 10% of the population and there’s a 90% accurate test for it, the probability that someone is infected given a positive test is only 50% #BaseRateNeglect
1/2 Base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias. #BaseRateFallacy #BaseRateNeglect #BaseRateBias
„Wenn du in Wyoming Hufschläge hörst und glaubst schwarz-weisse Streifen zu sehen, so ist es vermutlich doch ein Pferd.“ #BaseRateFallacy #BaseRateNeglect
Who says I can't create witty math-themed memes? (@edlatimore - I'm hoping you'll appreciate this effort) #mathmemes #baserateneglect #cognitivebias
Mooi voorbeeld van base rates en het negeren ervan. #psychology #psychologie #baserateneglect #Kahneman en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate…
How do you make #decisions that rely on the likelihood of something being true? Most of us ignore probability - and prefer to think we're exceptional. Beware - the bell curve tolls for us all! Check out our latest post: lnkd.in/gSU9EEMG #baserateneglect #biases
Hey #BehavioralScientists - what’s wrong with this headline? “Self-Driving and Driver-Assist Technology Linked to Hundreds of Car Crashes” #BaseRateNeglect #OutcomeBias nytimes.com/2022/06/15/bus…
When your hear hoofbeats, think horses not zebras. #BaseRateNeglect #IPO
Italy's only Malaysian food truck draws an unlikely crowd: Italians. trib.al/KnbWTzG
Survivorship-bias abound when people make the claim company X, Y, or Z is the ‘next’ TSLA. The feat they achieved is under-appreciated because we quickly mentally discount the # of companies that failed. #BaseRateNeglect
How do you approach decisions or judgements that rest on the likelihood of something being true or the likelihood of something happening? Most of us find it difficult to take into account a critical factor known as the base rate. #baserateneglect #choices overcast.fm/+6DSA1PPfo
Psych professor made up a drug called starbukine based off of Starbucks #coffeeadict #psych #baserateneglect
The plural of "anecdote" is not data. Don't fall for the example of one. #BaseRateNeglect #AnecdotalEvidence
So let's not pretend the frothing left masses are intellectual superior by arguing #Whataboutism. They are demonstrably ignoring a more significant, directly comparable example of actions by a political opponent, during the same time frame. That is #baserateneglect.
#BaseRateNeglect: underutilize statistical information in decision-making #OutcomeBias: evaluate decisions based on outcomes rather than quality of the decision-making process #IllusionofTransparency: overestimate extent to which one's thoughts & feelings are apparent to others
Oui mais attention, l'étude n'a pas été faire chez l'enfant, chez qui les complications thromboemboliques sont beaucoup + rares. Ce n'est donc pas le principal argument pour guider le choix théraputique chez l'enfant (question pas résolue à ma connaissance). #BaseRateNeglect
Survivorship-bias abound when people make the claim company X, Y, or Z is the ‘next’ TSLA. The feat they achieved is under-appreciated because we quickly mentally discount the # of companies that failed. #BaseRateNeglect
Yep, we are actively adding to that 0.5% (UK percentage of world human emissions) of the 30% (human CO2 emissions as percentage of all CO2 emissions) of the 0.04% (CO2 as a percentage of total atmosphere). Ever hear yourself? #baserateneglect #fartinathunderstorm #climatescam
Surtout, <25 ans. Rapport de vraisemblance négatif inférieur aux dilutions homéopathiques. #BaseRateNeglect #Bayes
How do you approach decisions or judgements that rest on the likelihood of something being true or the likelihood of something happening? Most of us find it difficult to take into account a critical factor known as the base rate. #baserateneglect #choices overcast.fm/+6DSA1PPfo
...never send to know for whom the bell curve tolls; it tolls for thee. Hate the thought of being average? Doubt that statistics apply to you? Check out our new episode 'Nobody wants to be Average': goodbetterright.com.au/podcast #baserateneglect #statistics #cognitivebias
How do you make #decisions that rely on the likelihood of something being true? Most of us ignore probability - and prefer to think we're exceptional. Beware - the bell curve tolls for us all! Check out our latest post: lnkd.in/gSU9EEMG #baserateneglect #biases
Who says I can't create witty math-themed memes? (@edlatimore - I'm hoping you'll appreciate this effort) #mathmemes #baserateneglect #cognitivebias
#BaseRateNeglect: underutilize statistical information in decision-making #OutcomeBias: evaluate decisions based on outcomes rather than quality of the decision-making process #IllusionofTransparency: overestimate extent to which one's thoughts & feelings are apparent to others
Once again: #CommonErrors , #BaseRateNeglect You are in a totally different part of the algorithm than the majority of users Mr. Musk. For many of us we lost 70% of our reach under the new Silo Conservation Algorithm. You doubtfully lost any.
Hey #BehavioralScientists - what’s wrong with this headline? “Self-Driving and Driver-Assist Technology Linked to Hundreds of Car Crashes” #BaseRateNeglect #OutcomeBias nytimes.com/2022/06/15/bus…
„Wenn du in Wyoming Hufschläge hörst und glaubst schwarz-weisse Streifen zu sehen, so ist es vermutlich doch ein Pferd.“ #BaseRateFallacy #BaseRateNeglect
Mooi voorbeeld van base rates en het negeren ervan. #psychology #psychologie #baserateneglect #Kahneman en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate…
Base rate neglect: We tend to be blinded by individuating information, ignoring an established prior probability when making decisions under risk. #BaseRateNeglect #LeadershipMatters #GSUEdLead #DecisionMaking youtu.be/ROjVxg_uLQA
“When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras” #BaseRateNeglect
Picking the sources which supports your decision? Which biase is this? #baserateneglect? #confirmationbias?#availabilitybias? #prematureclosing?
#Leadership #psychology week 2: #BaseRateNeglect youtu.be/ROjVxg_uLQA #BaseRate #Probability #EdLeadership #Bias #LeadershipDevelopment #DecisionMaking #GSUEdLead
How do we think psychologically about numbers in relation to Covid-19 & impact on market. Consider effect of #Anchoringbias & #BaseRateNeglect w/ #mentalmodel & #decisionmaking Recession will follow 2020 pandemic Be prepared! soundcloud.com/user-682136294…
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Mental Models: Anchoring Bias & Base Rate Neglect in Relation to...
Once again: #CommonErrors , #BaseRateNeglect You are in a totally different part of the algorithm than the majority of users Mr. Musk. For many of us we lost 70% of our reach under the new Silo Conservation Algorithm. You doubtfully lost any.
Who says I can't create witty math-themed memes? (@edlatimore - I'm hoping you'll appreciate this effort) #mathmemes #baserateneglect #cognitivebias
1/2 Base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias. #BaseRateFallacy #BaseRateNeglect #BaseRateBias
Upgraded from post-it math to spreadsheet math. Many people still believe that a positive result on a test with X% accuracy means they're infected with X% probability. #BaseRateNeglect
Fun with numbers: if there’s an infection that affects 10% of the population and there’s a 90% accurate test for it, the probability that someone is infected given a positive test is only 50% #BaseRateNeglect
„Wenn du in Wyoming Hufschläge hörst und glaubst schwarz-weisse Streifen zu sehen, so ist es vermutlich doch ein Pferd.“ #BaseRateFallacy #BaseRateNeglect
Mooi voorbeeld van base rates en het negeren ervan. #psychology #psychologie #baserateneglect #Kahneman en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate…
How do you make #decisions that rely on the likelihood of something being true? Most of us ignore probability - and prefer to think we're exceptional. Beware - the bell curve tolls for us all! Check out our latest post: lnkd.in/gSU9EEMG #baserateneglect #biases
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