#baseratefallacy search results
This is how most media report on #MECFS & #LongCovid Unfortunately, this is even seen in technical/medical press. Classic #baseratefallacy 🤷
"Away with your numbers gobeldygook! Tempt me not, maths wizard!" #FacebookScience #Covidiots #BaseRateFallacy
1/2 Base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias. #BaseRateFallacy #BaseRateNeglect #BaseRateBias
With the majority of the population vaccinated, it is very LOGICAL that more vaxxed than unvaxxed are going to end up in hospital/die. This doesn’t mean that the COVID-19 is not efficacious. #nottheaharpest #baseratefallacy
Your unsourced screen cap is from 18 months ago. 96% are va%ed in Massachusetts. And this was in a tiny non typical crowded holiday isle. #BaseRateFallacy
You meet an introverted person on campus? Would you think he’s in Marketing and Business or Electrical Engineering department? EE right? Wrong! Here’s why… (see first comment) #baseratefallacy #bayesian #bayes
Yes 11 million, mostly children. You're point? Meanwhile "mortality approx 30 times" is nonsense 🤡 #BaseRateFallacy
1000 Volkswagens, 100 Peugeots. 100 VW stuk, 20 Peugeots stuk. Conclusie? VW onbetrouwbaarder? 🤔😂 #BaseRateFallacy #Halsema #migratie #asielbeleid #asiel #groenlinkspvda
They also know 5 people who died from “the jab”… and claims to know this because they work in a hospital. 🤦♀️ And then they pull out the “more vaccinated are dying than unvaccinated” line. #BaseRateFallacy
Why ignore the #BaseRateFallacy? Ignorance? Purposeful undermining of #PublicHealth?
Claim: “67% of #COVID hospitalized are vaccinated? Vaccines not working?” 📍No—due to “base rate fallacy”. To illustrate—suppose 50% of unvaccinated are hospitalized, while 10% of vaxxed are, but many more vaccinated. You can get the 67% above. ➡️Don’t be misled! By @MarcRummy
I kinda forgot how the gambler's fallacy was a #type of #BaseRateFallacy...
#BaseRateFallacy: underutilize statistical information in decision-making #IllusoryCorrelation: perceive a relationship between two variables when none exists
Avoid the 'Base Rate Fallacy'—don't overlook general statistical information in favor of specific anecdotes. 🧠📊 #BaseRateFallacy #MentalModels #CriticalThinking #Statistics #LogicalFallacies #DecisionMaking
What percentage of the general population is deficient? #baseratefallacy
John Campbell’s claim about vaccinated COVID deaths ignores the base rate fallacy. With 90%+ of UK over-50s vaccinated, most deaths will be in this group by sheer numbers, not inefficacy. See CDC data & Lancet studies for true vaccine impact. #BaseRateFallacy #Science
1000 Volkswagens, 100 Peugeots. 100 VW stuk, 20 Peugeots stuk. Conclusie? VW onbetrouwbaarder? 🤔😂 #BaseRateFallacy #Halsema #migratie #asielbeleid #asiel #groenlinkspvda
Van het 2e screenshot moet je wel de andere grafieken ook eens bekijken... maar dat doe je bewust niet natuurlijk. Sowieso komen er meer gevaccineerden te sterven... er zijn er ook veel meer. #baseratefallacy. Weet je best natuurlijk, je bent gewoon weer een kwaadwillige
Did you know that base rate neglect can lead to wrong conclusions? Watch our latest video to learn how Bayes' Theorem can help you make better decisions and avoid costly mistakes! youtu.be/Jv9xoVNey0g #Probability #BaseRateFallacy #DecisionMaking #CriticalThinking
Did you know that base rate neglect can lead to wrong conclusions? 🤔 Watch our latest video to learn how Bayes' Theorem can help you make better decisions and avoid costly mistakes! 📊💡 youtu.be/txuPuvzA-JU #BaseRateFallacy #BayesTheorem #DecisionMaking #CriticalThinking
youtube.com
YouTube
Probability Paradox: How Base Rate Neglect Leads to Wrong Conclusions
#BaseRateFallacy Read and educate yourelf: thosenerdygirls.org/base-rate-fall…
thosenerdygirls.org
Q: If 50% of COVID hospitalizations are among the vaccinated, does that mean the vaccines aren’t...
A: No. This metric sounds useful, but it can’t tell us anything about vaccine effectiveness. Since the roll-out of COVID vaccinations, many headlines have
Erm yes. And why? They are over 95% vaccinated and vaccine does not make you immortal. Go Google #BaseRateFallacy and come back when you are ready to be grown up about this. A million decliners have preventable passed now.
Aah. Best you go educate yourself on the #BaseRateFallacy
You meet an introverted person on campus? Would you think he’s in Marketing and Business or Electrical Engineering department? EE right? Wrong! Here’s why… (see first comment) #baseratefallacy #bayesian #bayes
There we are then. #BaseRateFallacy
#BaseRateFallacy My pleasure.
Is this your argument? P1: If theism is true, moral agents are likely. P2: If atheism is true, moral agents are unlikely. P3: Moral agents exist. C: Therefore, theism is more probable than atheism. However, likelihood ≠ probability. Priors matter too! #BaseRateFallacy
Sain oppitunnin nimettömältä twitter-epidemiologilta. Täytyypä perehtyä 😎 Mutta jos jostain väestömääristä ei tarvitse välittää, eikö ole kummallista, että maailmassa joka vuosi kuolleista eniten on kiinalaisia? You can’t make this shit up. #baseratefallacy #onsenytihme
@MarkSteynOnline @GBNEWS #BaseRateFallacy Most old folk have had all their jabs Most deaths from all causes are among elderly obvs
More people die in car accidents wearing a seat belt than not wearing one, too. But they cut your chance of dying in a crash by about half. #baseratefallacy #bayestheorem #covidvaccine #covid19 #vaccineswork
Complete: 258 Hospitalized out of 32459 Active = 0.8% Unvaxxed: 221 out of 6966 Active = 3.2% Odds of ending up hospitalized are 4x higher if you are unvaxxed #baseratefallacy
With the majority of the population vaccinated, it is very LOGICAL that more vaxxed than unvaxxed are going to end up in hospital/die. This doesn’t mean that the COVID-19 is not efficacious. #nottheaharpest #baseratefallacy
Well, we know for sure, the one running the country is a politician and not a doctor. The other we know is a doctor but possibly a politician. If I was asked to bet with my own money, statistically I'd bet on Faucci. If you disagree, learn #BaseRateFallacy.
This is how most media report on #MECFS & #LongCovid Unfortunately, this is even seen in technical/medical press. Classic #baseratefallacy 🤷
Here's a real-life example of the #BaseRateFallacy. On 1st glance, there's vax'd than unvax'd with severe disease. But the rate is actually 6x higher in the unvax'd population. #COVID19 #GetVaxxed #Datavisualization #VaccinesSaveLives #vaccine #dataviz
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