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What’s Success Rate in CFB analytics, and why do so many modelers care about it? 🤔 Let’s break it down 🧵 #CFBData

🧠 Want to build a college football model but skip the pain? After years of trial-and-error, here are 10 things I wish I’d known when I started. 👉 buff.ly/5D6GF39 #CFB #SportsAnalytics #CFBData

🏈 Power Your CFB Coverage with SportsDataIO! 🏆 Bringing real-time data for the 2025/2026 season: ✅ Live scores & stats ✅ Player & team insights ✅ Betting odds & props ✅ AI-powered content 📖 Learn more: sportsdata.io/sportsdataios-… #CollegeFootball #CFBData #SportsAnalytics

Love seeing 88 games on Todays Game button -Hit that and smile! @NCAAFootball Saturdays are finally here! @rithmm_ai has predictive models, research tools, and trend analysis all in one place. Join the rithmm community! #aibets #AIBettingTips #cfbdata #CFBPicks

Josh Pate defending his #CFBdata model tonight

Entering tonight, here is where the current Top-25 FBS teams stand in terms of both Scoring Offense & Scoring Defense. Georgia, Michigan, Ohio State, & Alabama are in the powerhouse quadrant (Top Offense & Defense)!! Any surprises this season? #CFBData🏈

14 CFB teams finished ranked in the Final AP Poll who were not ranked in the Pre-Season poll. This is the most in AP Poll history. The previous record was 12, most recently accomplished in 2010. #CFBData 🏈📈

14 CFB teams finished ranked in the Final AP Poll who were not ranked in the Pre-Season poll. This is the most in AP Poll history. The previous record was 12, most recently accomplished in 2010. #CFBData 🏈📈 @AP_Top25

Cincinnati 6-27 Alabama Success Rates: Alabama: 55% Cincinnati: 43% Net Predicted Points Added: Bryce Young: 29.68 Desmond Ridder: 15.77 Alabama Post Game Win Probability: 100% Alabama Average Win Probability: 97% #CIN vs. #ALA #CFBData #CFBPlayoff

Georgia 34-11 Michigan Success Rates: Georgia: 48% Michigan: 32% Net Predicted Points Added: Stetson Bennett: 22.32 Cade McNamara: 9.35 In-Game Win Probability Chart Georgia Post Game Win Probability: 97% Georgia Average Win Probability: 96% #UGA vs. #MICH #CFBData #CFBPlayoff

✈️ flying home to Denver today 🚨 new podcast episode tonight 🏈 neural net is shot this bowl season/trends I’ve found for betting bowl season New data tweet tomorrow - is the SEC starting 0-4 in bowl season an indictment of the conference? #cfbbets #FreePick #cfbdata

In-Game Win Probability Chart BYU Post Game Win Probability: 68% BYU Average Win Probability: 81% #BYU vs. #USC #CFBData

BYU 35-31 USC Success Rates: BYU: 47.30% USC: 47.50% Net Predicted Points Added: Jaren Hall: 13.54 Jaxson Dart: 10.66 #CFBData #BYU vs. #USC

In-Game Win Probability Chart UCLA Post Game Win Probability: 100% UCLA Average Win Probability: 82% #CAL vs. #UCLA #CFBData

California 14-42 UCLA Success Rates: California: 32% UCLA: 54% Net Predicted Points Added: Chase Garbers: -8.52 Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 15.95 #CFBData #CAL vs. #UCLA

In-Game Win Probability Chart Nevada Post Game Win Probability: 97% Nevada Average Win Probability: 96% #NEV vs. #CSU #CFBData

Nevada 52-10 Colorado State Success Rates: Colorado State: 37% Nevada: 47% Net Predicted Points Added: Todd Centeio: 1.5 Carson Strong: 19.74 #CFBData #NEV vs. #CSU

In-Game Win Probability Chart Oklahoma State Post Game Win Probability: 82% Oklahoma State Average Win Probability: 68% #OKLA vs. #OKST #CFBData

Oklahoma 33-37 Oklahoma State Success Rates: Oklahoma: 33% Oklahoma State: 43% Net Predicted Points Added: Caleb Williams: 6.95 Spencer Sanders: 7.47 #CFBData #OKLA vs. #OKST

In-Game Win Probability Chart Nevada Post Game Win Probability: 97% Nevada Average Win Probability: 96% #NEV vs. #CSU #CFBData

Tulsa 34, UCF 26 -Wow. Talk about a change in the second half for Tulsa. -3rd quarter was a disaster for the Knights. pbp by #CFBDATA

Louisiana 20, Ga Southern 18 -Jason rises from the dead again. -The Cajuns won the explosiveness battle, but lost the efficiency battle by a 12% margin...but had one....more...scoring opportunity that put them over the top. pbp by #CFBDATA

Florida 51, Ole Miss 35 -Yeah that's a lot of yards y'all. -Freshwater Offense is going to be fun this year...but that defense...sheesh. -Kyle to Kyle connection worked out fine for the Gators, lots of "ohhhhhhhh my's" I reckon. -Florida OL...3.21 line yards 👀 pbp by #CFBDATA

That was wild. #CFBDATA

Wow Mizzou. Going -3 in turnovers and you still give a post game win expectancy of 83%. That's what happens when you have +10 SR advantage, you win the explosiveness battle, and you score points when you have a scoring opportunity. #CFBDATA

Alabama 52, Tex A&M 24 -Dude. 9.8 YPP for Bama. And that's with a bad 3rd quarter. -A&M had multiple chances to score...but when you don't put it in the endzone...well... -47% Passing Explosiveness from Mac Jones. Insane. pbp by #CFBDATA

Ole Miss 42, Kentucky 41 -Oh.....Kentucky. That's a BRUTAL way to go out. A +13% Success Rate advantage usually spells a W, but Ole Miss hung around and did just enough to pull it out. pbp by #CFBDATA

Well Jimbo....you finally made your money. Sometimes giving your team a chance to finish scoring drives can make or break you. Florida had six scoring opportunities....A&M had 7. That seventh opportunity led to the GW field goal. #CFBDATA

14 CFB teams finished ranked in the Final AP Poll who were not ranked in the Pre-Season poll. This is the most in AP Poll history. The previous record was 12, most recently accomplished in 2010. #CFBData 🏈📈 @AP_Top25

K-State 38, OU 35 "How...in the world is Kansas State winning this game?" -Let's see, hold on to the ball and force TO's....check. Win the field position battle by +14 yards...check. Finish drives inside the 40 yard line...check. Guess that solves that then. pbp by #CFBDATA

Oklahoma 33-37 Oklahoma State Success Rates: Oklahoma: 33% Oklahoma State: 43% Net Predicted Points Added: Caleb Williams: 6.95 Spencer Sanders: 7.47 #CFBData #OKLA vs. #OKST

Texas A&M 17, Vandy 12 -Someone needs to take that 4th quarter tape and burn it. -Vandy had the field position advantage by a country mile and squandered their opportunities inside the 40. That won't get it done against a Top 10 team. pbp by #CFBDATA

2nd game of the night was a little more interesting as Southern Miss entered a big favorite and fell by double digits to South Alabama. Jalen Tolbert led the way with +15 EPA for USA. collegefootballdata.com/boxscore/40120… #CFBDATA

SEC QB's by Passing Success Rate: Trask, Guarantano, and Mac Jones stood out. The biggest surprise was Stetson Bennett out of UGA. Didn't have the best YPA, but the offense stayed ahead of schedule when he was asked to throw it. #CFBDATA

chart time y'all. -More teams!!!!! Welcome to the party SEC. -BYU...lol. -If Pitt/UGA/OSU/Cincy gets a consistent offense to go with that defense, they might be alright. -Florida and Ole Miss channeling their inner B12. -USF....um... #CFBDATA

Entering tonight, here is where the current Top-25 FBS teams stand in terms of both Scoring Offense & Scoring Defense. Georgia, Michigan, Ohio State, & Alabama are in the powerhouse quadrant (Top Offense & Defense)!! Any surprises this season? #CFBData🏈

Here are your top-performing college RBs through week 11! [discussion below ⬇️] Data: @CFB_Data through @cfbscrapR #CFB #CFBDATA #DEVY

Pittsburgh 31-14 Syracuse Success Rates: Pittsburgh: 51% Syracuse: 37% Net Predicted Points Added: Kenny Pickett: 13.54 Garrett Shrader: 9.55 #CFBData #PITT vs. #SYR

If Saturday's offensive performance by the #Irish felt like the worst parts of last season, it's because it was. It's a small sample size, but a majority of the offensive plays are still failing to improve ND's chances to be the next team to score. #CFBDATA @cfbscrapR