#crowdforecasting search results
Checkout Cultivate manager Zach Siewert on The Hub Canada's podcast discussing the benefit of crowd-sourced forecasting to prevent surprises in geopolitics. #collectiveintelligence #forecasting #crowdforecasting #Policy #govtech
‘Let’s not be surprised’: Zachary Siewert (@cultivatelabs) on how the wisdom of crowds is helping economic and geopolitical leaders forecast the future. thehub.ca/podcast/video/…
thehub.ca
‘Let’s not be surprised’: How the wisdom of crowds is helping...
What impact will large AI Language Models have on crowdsourced forecasting? To start, we experimented with ChatGPT’s ability to summarize anonymized forecast rationales for our reporting. Here’s what we learned >> bit.ly/3UQJfYZ #chatgpt #crowdforecasting
How does #crowdforecasting work, you ask? Our latest blog dives into: ✔️a brief history of forecasting ✔️our typical outputs for analysts and decision makers ✔️how you can harness crowd forecasting for your organization See more >> cultivatelabs.com/posts/how-crow…
Doubting your #forecasting intuition? Pro Forecaster Dirk Bleese is a German modern jazz #pianist and composer, and his altruistic values brought him to #crowdforecasting. Here's Dirk's advice...
An effective #crowdforecasting program hinges on asking the right questions. How does Cultivate develop forecast questions that are useful and actionable for decision-makers? Learn more about our process from a Q&A w/ our teammates in our latest blog >> bit.ly/3r9nRUl
Have you downloaded our #mobileapp yet? Forecast with us to support INFER's U.S. Government stakeholders directly from your mobile device. Learn more and download here >> bit.ly/3DstRul #crowdforecasting
“The JCPOA gives [Iran] conceivable cover to keep driving a wedge between Europe and the U.S.” – @brianoftoole, senior fellow at the @AtlanticCouncil's GeoEconomics Center. See more in our recent blog >> bit.ly/493HMpf #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
🚀Will the next moon mission land safely? With renewed interest in lunar exploration, forecast with us on the odds of a successful moon landing before June 2024. Forecast now➡️ bit.ly/3PnhLYH #moonexploration #crowdforecasting
Our teammates gave a guest lecture to @georgetownsfs Professor Lisa Bronson 's graduate class about #crowdforecasting and its application within government. Read more from our blog >> cultivatelabs.com/posts/cultivat…
How did your forecasting contribute to INFER's mission and community this year? Take a look at our 2023 highlights >> bit.ly/48mtkr2 #crowdforecasting
🔍We are monitoring #Iran's nuclear ambitions – and their access to enriched #uranium is just one signal of progress. 💡What's your take? >> bit.ly/44eJkZX #crowdforecasting
Will #Iran leave the #nuclear deal? What could trigger European sanctions? Our latest INFER Insights blog post features expert and crowd forecasts on scenarios for Iran, the JCPOA and more: infer-pub.com/the-pub/whats-… #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
We asked INFER Pro Forecaster and geopolitical consultant ScottEastman: What have you learned from working with top level forecasters both in your field and in the INFER Pro program? Hear from several top forecasters >> infer-pub.com/the-pub/lesson… #crowdforecasting
🤝 INFER is enhancing the connection between #science and #policy Our recent blog post details how crowd forecasting is helping scientists and policymakers communicate and work together more effectively. Read now >> bit.ly/46pWt3v #crowdforecasting #policymaking
⏰ Mission: AI Advancement challenge ends soon! Forecast on all eligible questions by MONDAY for a chance to participate in a virtual forecasting meetup with key players in the #AI space. ✅Forecast now >> bit.ly/476zLP1 #AIgovernance #crowdforecasting
We recently hosted a special forecasting #meetup for INFER forecasters and forecasting enthusiasts from Google. Read more about the event and what INFER's forecasters took away from the experience >> bit.ly/463bGbh #crowdforecasting #futureofAI #AIadvancement
What is the single biggest x-factor for the #Iran nuclear deal and Iran's relationship with the West? 🇺🇸 The upcoming U.S. #election, according to INFER forecasters and experts. Learn more in our latest blog post >> bit.ly/3RqbgqR #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
The #IsraelHamasWar could drastically disrupt the #oil supply in the region, leading to higher prices. 🛢️What do you think will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between Dec 2023 and April 2024? Make a forecast >> bit.ly/4anp2kS #crowdforecasting
“Iran is never going to leave the JCPOA" – @JasonMBrodsky, policy director of United Against Nuclear Iran (@UANI). Read our recent INFER Insights post for other takes on the future of the #Iran nuclear deal >> bit.ly/3RqbgqR #crowdforecasting #IranDeal
Give this a listen! Their first episode interviews our CEO @amsiegel about the powerful impact of #crowdforecasting for organizational strategy and global policymaking
We are excited to announce the release of Wisdom of the Crowd, our brand new #podcast miniseries exploring the future of transatlantic relations. Throughout the series, we talk to experts on key issues such as #democracy, #climate, and more. Listen now: open.spotify.com/show/3FZNWMZJI…
Checkout Cultivate manager Zach Siewert on The Hub Canada's podcast discussing the benefit of crowd-sourced forecasting to prevent surprises in geopolitics. #collectiveintelligence #forecasting #crowdforecasting #Policy #govtech
‘Let’s not be surprised’: Zachary Siewert (@cultivatelabs) on how the wisdom of crowds is helping economic and geopolitical leaders forecast the future. thehub.ca/podcast/video/…
thehub.ca
‘Let’s not be surprised’: How the wisdom of crowds is helping...
We asked INFER Pro Forecaster and geopolitical consultant ScottEastman: What have you learned from working with top level forecasters both in your field and in the INFER Pro program? Hear from several top forecasters >> infer-pub.com/the-pub/lesson… #crowdforecasting
Our teammates gave a guest lecture to @georgetownsfs Professor Lisa Bronson 's graduate class about #crowdforecasting and its application within government. Read more from our blog >> cultivatelabs.com/posts/cultivat…
How does #crowdforecasting work, you ask? Our latest blog dives into: ✔️a brief history of forecasting ✔️our typical outputs for analysts and decision makers ✔️how you can harness crowd forecasting for your organization See more >> cultivatelabs.com/posts/how-crow…
How did your forecasting contribute to INFER's mission and community this year? Take a look at our 2023 highlights >> bit.ly/48mtkr2 #crowdforecasting
The #IsraelHamasWar could drastically disrupt the #oil supply in the region, leading to higher prices. 🛢️What do you think will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between Dec 2023 and April 2024? Make a forecast >> bit.ly/4anp2kS #crowdforecasting
INFER forecasters are currently tackling several questions related to the #Israel #Hamas war. Find out the latest crowd forecasts and what experts are predicting about the global crisis in our latest INFER Insights post >> bit.ly/3seYj9j #crowdforecasting
“The JCPOA gives [Iran] conceivable cover to keep driving a wedge between Europe and the U.S.” – @brianoftoole, senior fellow at the @AtlanticCouncil's GeoEconomics Center. See more in our recent blog >> bit.ly/493HMpf #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
⌛️Time is running out to forecast on the below question closing Oct 31! 📉The crowd forecast has dropped significantly since June. Do you agree?➡️bit.ly/3qw480Q #crowdforecasting #ChatGPT #AI #OpenAI
randforecastinginitiative.org
Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models,...
Earlier this spring, Italy temporarily banned ChatGPT due to privacy concerns (BBC, The Conversation). This decision sparked debate about whether other countries would follow suit (CNBC, Reuters)....
We recently launched a new question to monitor global restrictions against #ChatGPT and other @OpenAI models. The INFER crowd currently says it's improbable that a country will ban or regulate ChatGPT by the fall. Forecast with us >> bit.ly/3qw480Q
“Iran is never going to leave the JCPOA" – @JasonMBrodsky, policy director of United Against Nuclear Iran (@UANI). Read our recent INFER Insights post for other takes on the future of the #Iran nuclear deal >> bit.ly/3RqbgqR #crowdforecasting #IranDeal
🤝 INFER is enhancing the connection between #science and #policy Our recent blog post details how crowd forecasting is helping scientists and policymakers communicate and work together more effectively. Read now >> bit.ly/46pWt3v #crowdforecasting #policymaking
We recently hosted a special forecasting #meetup for INFER forecasters and forecasting enthusiasts from Google. Read more about the event and what INFER's forecasters took away from the experience >> bit.ly/463bGbh #crowdforecasting #futureofAI #AIadvancement
What is the single biggest x-factor for the #Iran nuclear deal and Iran's relationship with the West? 🇺🇸 The upcoming U.S. #election, according to INFER forecasters and experts. Learn more in our latest blog post >> bit.ly/3RqbgqR #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
🚀Will the next moon mission land safely? With renewed interest in lunar exploration, forecast with us on the odds of a successful moon landing before June 2024. Forecast now➡️ bit.ly/3PnhLYH #moonexploration #crowdforecasting
Will #Iran leave the #nuclear deal? What could trigger European sanctions? Our latest INFER Insights blog post features expert and crowd forecasts on scenarios for Iran, the JCPOA and more: infer-pub.com/the-pub/whats-… #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
🔍We are monitoring #Iran's nuclear ambitions – and their access to enriched #uranium is just one signal of progress. 💡What's your take? >> bit.ly/44eJkZX #crowdforecasting
⏰ Mission: AI Advancement challenge ends soon! Forecast on all eligible questions by MONDAY for a chance to participate in a virtual forecasting meetup with key players in the #AI space. ✅Forecast now >> bit.ly/476zLP1 #AIgovernance #crowdforecasting
Have you downloaded our #mobileapp yet? Forecast with us to support INFER's U.S. Government stakeholders directly from your mobile device. Learn more and download here >> bit.ly/3DstRul #crowdforecasting
🇺🇸 Looking for ways to show your #patriotism on this #IndependenceDay? INFER invites you to help U.S. Government stakeholders make more informed policy decisions. Forecast with us today >> infer-pub.com #crowdforecasting
An effective #crowdforecasting program hinges on asking the right questions. How does Cultivate develop forecast questions that are useful and actionable for decision-makers? Learn more about our process from a Q&A w/ our teammates in our latest blog >> bit.ly/3r9nRUl
What impact will large AI Language Models have on crowdsourced forecasting? To start, we experimented with ChatGPT’s ability to summarize anonymized forecast rationales for our reporting. Here’s what we learned >> bit.ly/3UQJfYZ #chatgpt #crowdforecasting
Announcing our #NewYear Challenge drawing winners HenriqueFontes, mbransfield, and vincientarnold -- a big thank you to all participants for kicking off the 2023 forecasting season with us! #crowdforecasting
“The JCPOA gives [Iran] conceivable cover to keep driving a wedge between Europe and the U.S.” – @brianoftoole, senior fellow at the @AtlanticCouncil's GeoEconomics Center. See more in our recent blog >> bit.ly/493HMpf #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
Have you downloaded our #mobileapp yet? Forecast with us to support INFER's U.S. Government stakeholders directly from your mobile device. Learn more and download here >> bit.ly/3DstRul #crowdforecasting
Doubting your #forecasting intuition? Pro Forecaster Dirk Bleese is a German modern jazz #pianist and composer, and his altruistic values brought him to #crowdforecasting. Here's Dirk's advice...
How does #crowdforecasting work, you ask? Our latest blog dives into: ✔️a brief history of forecasting ✔️our typical outputs for analysts and decision makers ✔️how you can harness crowd forecasting for your organization See more >> cultivatelabs.com/posts/how-crow…
🔍We are monitoring #Iran's nuclear ambitions – and their access to enriched #uranium is just one signal of progress. 💡What's your take? >> bit.ly/44eJkZX #crowdforecasting
What impact can YOU have with INFER? Pro Forecaster Geoffrey Odlum is an intl security and tech affairs consultant and former U.S. diplomat – he knows from personal experience the impact of #crowdforecasting for U.S. intelligence.
Interested in forecasting – but not sure if you're qualified? You are! Pro Forecaster & Team Lead Manuel Carranza Vazquez says every individual plays an important role in the #crowdforecasting ecosystem. Here's his advice:
Will #Iran leave the #nuclear deal? What could trigger European sanctions? Our latest INFER Insights blog post features expert and crowd forecasts on scenarios for Iran, the JCPOA and more: infer-pub.com/the-pub/whats-… #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
🤝 INFER is enhancing the connection between #science and #policy Our recent blog post details how crowd forecasting is helping scientists and policymakers communicate and work together more effectively. Read now >> bit.ly/46pWt3v #crowdforecasting #policymaking
An effective #crowdforecasting program hinges on asking the right questions. How does Cultivate develop forecast questions that are useful and actionable for decision-makers? Learn more about our process from a Q&A w/ our teammates in our latest blog >> bit.ly/3r9nRUl
🚀Will the next moon mission land safely? With renewed interest in lunar exploration, forecast with us on the odds of a successful moon landing before June 2024. Forecast now➡️ bit.ly/3PnhLYH #moonexploration #crowdforecasting
INFER is collaborating with a new government stakeholder to support U.S. diplomatic missions around the world. Forecast with us on collaboration questions to earn the Mission: Diplomacy badge >> infer-pub.com/mission-diplom… #diplomacy #elections #crowdforecasting
⏰ Mission: AI Advancement challenge ends soon! Forecast on all eligible questions by MONDAY for a chance to participate in a virtual forecasting meetup with key players in the #AI space. ✅Forecast now >> bit.ly/476zLP1 #AIgovernance #crowdforecasting
We recently hosted a special forecasting #meetup for INFER forecasters and forecasting enthusiasts from Google. Read more about the event and what INFER's forecasters took away from the experience >> bit.ly/463bGbh #crowdforecasting #futureofAI #AIadvancement
“Iran is never going to leave the JCPOA" – @JasonMBrodsky, policy director of United Against Nuclear Iran (@UANI). Read our recent INFER Insights post for other takes on the future of the #Iran nuclear deal >> bit.ly/3RqbgqR #crowdforecasting #IranDeal
What is the single biggest x-factor for the #Iran nuclear deal and Iran's relationship with the West? 🇺🇸 The upcoming U.S. #election, according to INFER forecasters and experts. Learn more in our latest blog post >> bit.ly/3RqbgqR #crowdforecasting #irannucleardeal
The #IsraelHamasWar could drastically disrupt the #oil supply in the region, leading to higher prices. 🛢️What do you think will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between Dec 2023 and April 2024? Make a forecast >> bit.ly/4anp2kS #crowdforecasting
How did your forecasting contribute to INFER's mission and community this year? Take a look at our 2023 highlights >> bit.ly/48mtkr2 #crowdforecasting
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