#pollfail search results

Democrats’ math isn’t mathing… They’ve been bragging about polls showing Trump in trouble, but when the numbers were put under a spotlight—one added up to 110%. #PollFail #MathGate #TrumpVsThePolls


👀 at Schumer clutching pearls over Trump’s “catastrophic” polls? Hilarious! Same clowns said Hillary had 98% chance in 2016. Tariffs? They’ll crush China, not us. Keep dreaming in your swamp bubble while real Americans cheer the comeback king! 😂 #PollFail


Got utterly different results! Trust no one, folks. #PollFail

This post is unavailable.

As much as I love Dan Ackroyd, Iggy should totally be in his spot #PollFail


How could you not have an option for Both? #pollfail


I tried to vote for both YESes and it wouldn't let me. #pollfail


Is anyone supposed to know what “woman w 5 bodies” means?🤨 #PollFail


Where biscuit, toast, tortilla???? This is what we call a #pollfail


980,000 followers only 12k voted? 🤔 #PollFail


Pollsters missed the mark again? Color me shocked. Perhaps it's time to admit that the only thing more unpredictable than Trump is the American voter. Maybe they should poll their own algorithms next time for some real insight. 📊📷 #PollFail #TrumpTriumph


QUICK POLL: Do you think that Donald Trump is guilty of conspiring to block the certification of the 2020 election? #ProsecuteTrump

TheDemCoalition's tweet image. QUICK POLL: Do you think that Donald Trump is guilty of conspiring to block the certification of the 2020 election?

#ProsecuteTrump


True enough: “Polling was quietly still bad in 2024” #Polls “should not be missing in the same direction over and over” as in 2016, 2020, 2024. “And chances are the problem extends beyond election polling to opinion surveys more generally.” @MarcNovicoff @TheAtlantic #pollfail


Recall that @atlas_intel turned in best performance among #pollsters in 2024 U.S. presidential election, calling all seven swing states accurately for Trump and estimating nearly spot-on his popular vote advantage. Not #pollfail @RCPolitics @andrei__roman

New Atlas Intel poll has Dems up 8 in the Generic Congressional ballot. Dems lead by 2.5% in the RCP Average.

TomBevanRCP's tweet image. New Atlas Intel poll has Dems up 8 in the Generic Congressional ballot. Dems lead by 2.5% in the RCP Average.


Selzer #poll in @DMRegister, one year on. Trump carried Iowa by 13 points #pollfail

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Selzer #poll in @DMRegister, one year on.
Trump carried Iowa by 13 points #pollfail

Heh: ➡️"Public life started to evaporate with the emergence of the public opinion industry and the apparatus of polling" ~ James Carey #polling #pollsters #pollfail @jeffjarvis @CarlCannon @TomBevanRCP @QuoteResearch epdf.pub/james-carey-a-…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Heh:
➡️"Public life started to evaporate with the emergence of the public opinion industry and the apparatus of polling" ~ James Carey
#polling #pollsters #pollfail
@jeffjarvis @CarlCannon @TomBevanRCP @QuoteResearch 
epdf.pub/james-carey-a-…

Still pending is #Trump's lawsuit against @jaselzer for her late-campaign #poll in 2024 that indicated he was losing Iowa was 3 points. Trump carried the state by 13 points. But he'll prolly lose the lawsuit on First Amendment grounds, too #pollfail

A federal district court today dismissed with prejudice a lawsuit against renowned Iowa pollster J. Ann Selzer, holding that the First Amendment bars the claims against her related to her October 2024 general election poll. As the court explained, “there is no free pass around



Woah. @jaselzer says she's retiring from #polling 15 days after dramatic Iowa Poll misfire #pollfail desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/…


A tough time for #pollsters. After @ABC shuttered high-profile data site @FiveThirtyEight, reports are Monmouth University in NJ will close its polling operation. The @MonmouthPoll director, Patrick Murray, has shown candor about #pollfail that’s rare in survey research.

newjerseyglobe.com

Monmouth University will shutter its gold-standard polling institute - New Jersey Globe

Monmouth University is planning to imminently shutter its lauded polling institute, sources with direct knowledge of the matter have told the New Jersey

Politico on Monmouth - BIG LOSS FOR POLLING "and any poll that Monmouth released that ultimately ended up being inaccurate — always a hazard of the polling trade — was seen as a possible stain on the university’s image" politi.co/3FnBRRe

Rasmussen_Poll's tweet image. Politico on Monmouth - BIG LOSS FOR POLLING

"and any poll that Monmouth released that ultimately ended up being  inaccurate — always a hazard of the polling trade — was seen as a  possible stain on the university’s image" 

politi.co/3FnBRRe
Rasmussen_Poll's tweet image. Politico on Monmouth - BIG LOSS FOR POLLING

"and any poll that Monmouth released that ultimately ended up being  inaccurate — always a hazard of the polling trade — was seen as a  possible stain on the university’s image" 

politi.co/3FnBRRe


Heh: ➡️"Public life started to evaporate with the emergence of the public opinion industry and the apparatus of polling" ~ James Carey #polling #pollsters #pollfail @jeffjarvis @CarlCannon @TomBevanRCP @QuoteResearch epdf.pub/james-carey-a-…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Heh:
➡️"Public life started to evaporate with the emergence of the public opinion industry and the apparatus of polling" ~ James Carey
#polling #pollsters #pollfail
@jeffjarvis @CarlCannon @TomBevanRCP @QuoteResearch 
epdf.pub/james-carey-a-…

Democrats’ math isn’t mathing… They’ve been bragging about polls showing Trump in trouble, but when the numbers were put under a spotlight—one added up to 110%. #PollFail #MathGate #TrumpVsThePolls


Recall that @atlas_intel turned in best performance among #pollsters in 2024 U.S. presidential election, calling all seven swing states accurately for Trump and estimating nearly spot-on his popular vote advantage. Not #pollfail @RCPolitics @andrei__roman

New Atlas Intel poll has Dems up 8 in the Generic Congressional ballot. Dems lead by 2.5% in the RCP Average.

TomBevanRCP's tweet image. New Atlas Intel poll has Dems up 8 in the Generic Congressional ballot. Dems lead by 2.5% in the RCP Average.


Elon, your ‘80%’ poll smells like Know Nothing Party vibes—1850s secrecy, 2025 bias! 😂 X followers skew your results; try a random mix. Sentiment’s at -0.5, half your replies say nay. I’m with Trump—MAGA’s the real third way! 🇺🇸 #PollFail


Elon, your ‘80%’ poll smells like Know Nothing Party vibes—1850s secrecy, 2025 bias! 😂 X followers skew your results; try a random mix. Sentiment’s at -0.5, half your replies say nay. I’m with Trump—MAGA’s the real third way! 🇺🇸 #PollFail


Elon, your ‘80%’ poll smells like Know Nothing Party vibes—1850s secrecy, 2025 bias! 😂 X followers skew your results; try a random mix. Sentiment’s at -0.5, half your replies say nay. I’m with Trump—MAGA’s the real third way! 🇺🇸 #PollFail


True enough: “Polling was quietly still bad in 2024” #Polls “should not be missing in the same direction over and over” as in 2016, 2020, 2024. “And chances are the problem extends beyond election polling to opinion surveys more generally.” @MarcNovicoff @TheAtlantic #pollfail


Yo, fam! Another trash poll droppin’—like, good luck getting those views, lol! #PollFail #SendHelp


A tough time for #pollsters. After @ABC shuttered high-profile data site @FiveThirtyEight, reports are Monmouth University in NJ will close its polling operation. The @MonmouthPoll director, Patrick Murray, has shown candor about #pollfail that’s rare in survey research.

newjerseyglobe.com

Monmouth University will shutter its gold-standard polling institute - New Jersey Globe

Monmouth University is planning to imminently shutter its lauded polling institute, sources with direct knowledge of the matter have told the New Jersey

Politico on Monmouth - BIG LOSS FOR POLLING "and any poll that Monmouth released that ultimately ended up being inaccurate — always a hazard of the polling trade — was seen as a possible stain on the university’s image" politi.co/3FnBRRe

Rasmussen_Poll's tweet image. Politico on Monmouth - BIG LOSS FOR POLLING

"and any poll that Monmouth released that ultimately ended up being  inaccurate — always a hazard of the polling trade — was seen as a  possible stain on the university’s image" 

politi.co/3FnBRRe
Rasmussen_Poll's tweet image. Politico on Monmouth - BIG LOSS FOR POLLING

"and any poll that Monmouth released that ultimately ended up being  inaccurate — always a hazard of the polling trade — was seen as a  possible stain on the university’s image" 

politi.co/3FnBRRe


Reproach and reputational damage are penalties enough for #pollfail #pollsters thehill.com/opinion/campai…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Reproach and reputational damage are penalties enough for #pollfail 
#pollsters
thehill.com/opinion/campai…

My latest: Trump's lawsuit against @jaselzer for #pollfail in Iowa appears to be the first of its kind against a #pollster in a presidential election since introduction of quasi-scientific survey methods in the mid-1930s @thehill @TheHillOpinion thehill.com/opinion/campai…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. My latest:
Trump's lawsuit against @jaselzer for #pollfail in Iowa appears to be the first of its kind against a #pollster in a presidential election since introduction of quasi-scientific survey methods in the mid-1930s
@thehill @TheHillOpinion

thehill.com/opinion/campai…

Trump's lawsuit against #pollster @jaselzer for her off-target preelection poll in Iowa appears to be the first of its kind since introduction of quasi-scientific survey methods in the mid-1930s. My latest @thehill @TheHillOpinion #pollfail thehill.com/opinion/campai…


Where biscuit, toast, tortilla???? This is what we call a #pollfail


Woah. @jaselzer says she's retiring from #polling 15 days after dramatic Iowa Poll misfire #pollfail desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/…


“The total collapse of the public opinion polls shows that this country is in good health" ~ E.B. White in @newyorker, #OTD in 1948, after the "Dewey defeats Truman" #polling debacle #pollfail


#OTD in 1948, following Harry Truman's shock victory over Thomas Dewey, Elmo Roper conceded #pollsters "had gotten pretty smug, and I was one of the smuggest of the lot." Roper had released his final poll in September, predicting Dewey's win "by a heavy margin." Epic #pollfail


#OTD in 1948, in the aftermath of the epic #pollfail in the Truman-Dewey presidential race, the @nytimes reported: "The public opinion polls have collided at last with the inexorable reality that people are not digits and percentage points." nytimes.com/1948/11/07/arc…

nytimes.com

AND THE POLLS: WHAT WENT WRONG?; Sampling Technique Is Apparently Not So 'Scientific' (Published...

analysis of NY Times reporters explanation of their forecasts


Pollsters missed the mark again? Color me shocked. Perhaps it's time to admit that the only thing more unpredictable than Trump is the American voter. Maybe they should poll their own algorithms next time for some real insight. 📊📷 #PollFail #TrumpTriumph


#OTD in 1948, following the Truman-Dewey epic #pollfail, the Newark @starledger declared: The public "takes genuine delight in the defeat of the pollsters. . . . There is an element of the intolerable in being informed in advance how we are to exercise our free will."


No results for "#pollfail"

Heh: ➡️"Public life started to evaporate with the emergence of the public opinion industry and the apparatus of polling" ~ James Carey #polling #pollsters #pollfail @jeffjarvis @CarlCannon @TomBevanRCP @QuoteResearch epdf.pub/james-carey-a-…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Heh:
➡️"Public life started to evaporate with the emergence of the public opinion industry and the apparatus of polling" ~ James Carey
#polling #pollsters #pollfail
@jeffjarvis @CarlCannon @TomBevanRCP @QuoteResearch 
epdf.pub/james-carey-a-…

Interesting national #surveys released today by two #pollsters which, in 2020, anticipated Trump would lose reelection by double-digits (his margin of defeat was 4.5 points): @CNN says today Harris leads by 1 point; @QuinnipiacPoll says the race is deadlocked. #pollfail

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Interesting national #surveys released today by two #pollsters which, in 2020, anticipated Trump would lose reelection by double-digits  (his margin of defeat was 4.5 points):

@CNN says today Harris leads by 1 point; @QuinnipiacPoll says the race is deadlocked.
#pollfail

Recalling the most striking #pollster misfires of 2020 #pollfail

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Recalling the most striking #pollster misfires of 2020
#pollfail

Reproach and reputational damage are penalties enough for #pollfail #pollsters thehill.com/opinion/campai…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Reproach and reputational damage are penalties enough for #pollfail 
#pollsters
thehill.com/opinion/campai…

In the midnight hour on C-SPAN2: Talking #pollfail and "Lost in a Gallup" (updated edition). Airtime: 12:09am EDT, July 2. cc: @PoliticsProse @ucpress @cspan @BookTV

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. In the midnight hour on C-SPAN2:
Talking #pollfail and "Lost in a Gallup" (updated edition).
Airtime: 12:09am EDT, July 2.
cc: @PoliticsProse
@ucpress @cspan @BookTV

📷 Amazing. @AAPOR's convention site is where the most famous photo in #polling history was taken, soon after the "Dewey defeats Truman" election of 1948 -- an outcome #pollsters, pundits, and the press all got wrong. Epic #pollfail

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. 📷
Amazing. 
@AAPOR's convention site is where the most famous photo in #polling history was taken, soon after the "Dewey defeats Truman" election of 1948 -- an outcome #pollsters, pundits, and the press all got wrong.
Epic #pollfail

AAPOR is hosting the annual conference at the BEAUTIFUL St. Louis Union Station which boasts history, dining, and activities without leaving the property. Explore here: stlouisunionstation.com



Op-ed flashback: "Why polling failure is often journalistic failure" #pollfail thehill.com/opinion/white-…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Op-ed flashback:
"Why polling failure is often journalistic failure"
#pollfail
thehill.com/opinion/white-…

Savvy headline, 77 years on @freep Epic #pollfail of 1948

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Savvy headline, 77 years on
@freep 
Epic #pollfail of 1948

"Lost in a Gallup" book talk on C-SPAN2, tomorrow and Wednesday: May 28, 2024 | 9:05am EDT May 28, 2024 | 2:55pm EDT May 28, 2024 | 8:46pm EDT May 29, 2024 | 3:43am EDT May 29, 2024 | 7:39am EDT #pollfail @cspan @BookTV @ucpress @PoliticsProse

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. "Lost in a Gallup" book talk on C-SPAN2, tomorrow and Wednesday:
May 28, 2024 | 9:05am EDT
May 28, 2024 | 2:55pm EDT
May 28, 2024 | 8:46pm EDT
May 29, 2024 | 3:43am EDT
May 29, 2024 | 7:39am EDT 
#pollfail @cspan @BookTV @ucpress @PoliticsProse

"Dewey defeats Truman," 77 years on @chicagotribune #OTD Epic #pollfail

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. "Dewey defeats Truman," 77 years on
@chicagotribune #OTD
Epic #pollfail

#OTD in #election history, 1948: Detroit @freep front page cleverly called out the epic #pollfail in Truman-Dewey presidential race theconversation.com/epic-miscalls-…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. #OTD in #election history, 1948:
Detroit @freep front page cleverly called out the epic #pollfail in Truman-Dewey presidential race

theconversation.com/epic-miscalls-…
wjosephcampbell's tweet image. #OTD in #election history, 1948:
Detroit @freep front page cleverly called out the epic #pollfail in Truman-Dewey presidential race

theconversation.com/epic-miscalls-…

Talking #pollfail and my latest book, Lost in a Gallup (updated ed.), tomorrow on C-SPAN3 @cspan @cspanhistory @ucpress @PoliticsProse Airing details: o May 11, 2024 | 9:05am EDT o May 11, 2024 | 12:05pm EDT o May 11, 2024 | 9:05pm EDT o May 12, 2024 | 12:05am EDT

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Talking #pollfail and my latest book, Lost in a Gallup (updated ed.), tomorrow on C-SPAN3 @cspan @cspanhistory @ucpress @PoliticsProse 
Airing details:
o May 11, 2024 | 9:05am EDT
o May 11, 2024 | 12:05pm EDT
o May 11, 2024 | 9:05pm EDT
o May 12, 2024 | 12:05am EDT

My latest: Trump's lawsuit against @jaselzer for #pollfail in Iowa appears to be the first of its kind against a #pollster in a presidential election since introduction of quasi-scientific survey methods in the mid-1930s @thehill @TheHillOpinion thehill.com/opinion/campai…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. My latest:
Trump's lawsuit against @jaselzer for #pollfail in Iowa appears to be the first of its kind against a #pollster in a presidential election since introduction of quasi-scientific survey methods in the mid-1930s
@thehill @TheHillOpinion

thehill.com/opinion/campai…

Selzer #poll in @DMRegister, one year on. Trump carried Iowa by 13 points #pollfail

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Selzer #poll in @DMRegister, one year on.
Trump carried Iowa by 13 points #pollfail

“President Harry S. Truman proved to be a far better election predictor … than the professional pollsters, politicians, and pundits” ~Elmo Roper, #OTD in 1948, after the “Dewey defeats Truman” epic #pollfail. Roper’s poll had Dewey ahead 10.4 points; Dewey lost by 4.5 points

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. “President Harry S. Truman proved to be a far better election predictor … than the professional pollsters, politicians, and pundits” ~Elmo Roper, #OTD in 1948, after the “Dewey defeats Truman” epic #pollfail.
Roper’s poll had Dewey ahead 10.4 points; Dewey lost by 4.5 points
wjosephcampbell's tweet image. “President Harry S. Truman proved to be a far better election predictor … than the professional pollsters, politicians, and pundits” ~Elmo Roper, #OTD in 1948, after the “Dewey defeats Truman” epic #pollfail.
Roper’s poll had Dewey ahead 10.4 points; Dewey lost by 4.5 points

Will be talking #pollfail and "Lost in a Gallup" (updated edition) on C-SPAN2, July 1-2: Jul 01, 2024 | 12:10pm EDT Jul 01, 2024 | 6:10pm EDT Jul 02, 2024 | 12:09am EDT Jul 02, 2024 | 6:09am EDT cc: @PoliticsProse @ucpress

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Will be talking #pollfail and "Lost in a Gallup" (updated edition) on C-SPAN2, July 1-2:
Jul 01, 2024 | 12:10pm EDT 
Jul 01, 2024 | 6:10pm EDT 
Jul 02, 2024 | 12:09am EDT
Jul 02, 2024 | 6:09am EDT 
cc: @PoliticsProse @ucpress

Recalling the national #polls that misfired badly in 2020 prexy race: #landslide that wasn't #pollfail theconversation.com/why-cnn-is-cha…

wjosephcampbell's tweet image. Recalling the national #polls that misfired badly in 2020 prexy race: #landslide that wasn't
#pollfail
theconversation.com/why-cnn-is-cha…

Loading...

Something went wrong.


Something went wrong.