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Gold at $3,000 and oil at $100 by 2025? Citi analysts don’t rule it out Gold prices could soar to $3,000 per ounce, and oil to $100 per barrel within the next 12 to 18 months subject to any one of three possible catalysts, according to Citi. Gold, which is currently trading at…
From @BBC: Aiming to reduce reliance on overseas supply, the UK plans its biggest #nuclear expansion in 70 years, which intends to quadruple #energy supplies by 2050. bbc.com/news/business-…
Soft landing has now officially become a consensus, from one extreme to the other extreme, market likes to inflict the most pain on market participants, pain would be we are closer to a recession than most think as all the recessionists puke their calls and head over to soft…
Now that everyone has puked their recession call and has moved to soft landing, biggest risk is lag effects finally hit as economy won’t be able to sustain higher for longer
🗣️ Stansberry Research Guest's Take 🗣️
Silver looks ready to break through its decade-long resistance this month. That is likely to coincide with gold prices making new highs, proving once again that triple-top formations rarely work. Exciting times ahead for the overall precious metals industry, which has been…
1/ Worth a read from GS "Single stock Put-call skew is the most consistently useful options market indicator for predicting forward equity returns. When put-skew is high, it shows there is elevated potential for a relief rally" 🧵
$AMZN increased call buying at $150 and $140, spot price $134. Current contract has high GEX.
The liquidity drain has begun, with hundreds of billions in reserves set to leave the system. But this reduction could not only fail to subdue risk assets. A squeeze in a covert market will allow the Fed to ease, again without a pivot. The Repo Market Put™ awaits us... 1/
$SPX dealer gamma back in negative territory -> dealers will sell weakness/buy strength. 0DTE floor at 4,100.
PACWest deposit run funded by Fed programs.
FED EMERGENCY BANK LOANS RISE TO $92.48 BLN FROM $81.1 BLN THE PRIOR WEEK.
$KRE big spike in liquidity for current contract, gamma interest 40. ATM IV P/C ratio is supportive and OTM IV PUT remains elevated. Bears remain in control but postioning is starting to turn bullish.. menthorq.co this weekend we'll talk about this new model (on…
what about if this happens? permas in shambles doesn't fit with bias
Title 42 being removed May 11th, immigrants have gathered and it seems to be overwhelming with potentially leading to state of emergencies on the border states. This is going to be interesting to see how this plays out. Definitely bullish for $GEO & $CXW on the Title 42 fallout.
$GEO $CXW Both active in calls for NW, don't see any news regarding them but both trying to breakout of this wedge, lots of air above
$SPX Pretty wild confluence with TL dating back to 09 low as spooz still has yet to overcome and sustain above 4200 without it being short lived
$SOXX Semis have been the leaders all year, nearing a breaking point
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