AvidCommentator's profile picture. Journalist & Analyst

Contributor for @newscomauHQ

Help support my content by subscribing at http://Burnouteconomics.com

My opinions are my own

Tarric Brooker aka Avid Commentator 🇦🇺

@AvidCommentator

Journalist & Analyst Contributor for @newscomauHQ Help support my content by subscribing at http://Burnouteconomics.com My opinions are my own

ปักหมุด

A big thanks to everyone who watched my latest full length chat with @DFA_Analyst, its up to over 1,000 views on YouTube. I'm really looking forward to developing the channel and in time interviewing some really interesting guests. youtu.be/62onfN9MXo4

AvidCommentator's tweet card. Australians Have Lost Hope

youtube.com

YouTube

Australians Have Lost Hope


This is a link to last night's ABC News finance report. In which ABC's Alan Kohler covers the net long term and permanent arrivals data, and its utility as an indicator. Relevant part starts at 1:15. Have a good day folks. youtu.be/h1w-jGPNw8U?si…

AvidCommentator's tweet card. Global markets rebound after Trump's reassurance about China trade |...

youtube.com

YouTube

Global markets rebound after Trump's reassurance about China trade |...


Good to see ABC News once again covering the net permanent and long term arrivals data. Using it just as the Centre For Population, a federal government organisation, suggests it could be. h/t @MarkoMatvikov

AvidCommentator's tweet image. Good to see ABC News once again covering the net permanent and long term arrivals data.

Using it just as the Centre For Population, a federal government organisation, suggests it could be.

h/t @MarkoMatvikov

It's hard to see how this is incorrect.

Short answer: it won’t.

disco___cat's tweet image. Short answer: it won’t.


The Cass Freight Shipments Index has recorded it's weakest September since the GFC recession and before that since the Dotcom recession in 2001.

AvidCommentator's tweet image. The Cass Freight Shipments Index has recorded it's weakest September since the GFC recession and before that since the Dotcom recession in 2001.

How long until a Bonaparte seizes power 😉

France contemplates end of the Fifth Republic amid political crisis — Telegraph



We live in a weird timeline.....

ShitpostGate's tweet image.


This is absolute nonsense and frankly insulting. By a government organization's own admission we are short over 137,000 homes since July 1st 2023. The overwhelming majority of that demand has stemmed from net migration. Chart: National Housing Supply and Affordability Council

AvidCommentator's tweet image. This is absolute nonsense and frankly insulting.

By a government organization's own admission we are short over 137,000 homes since July 1st 2023.

The overwhelming majority of that demand has stemmed from net migration.

Chart: National Housing Supply and Affordability Council

Immigrants are not responsible for the housing crisis. Investors are responsible for the housing crisis. Stop blaming immigrants for stuff they're not responsible for. It's the same thing Hitler did with the Jews. Your agenda here is transparent & it's pathetic.



Net long term and permanent arrivals and net migration are not a perfect proxy, I have made that repeatedly clear. I am suggesting that it can be a useful leading directional indicator, which is exactly what the federal government's own Centre For Population says it could be…

AvidCommentator's tweet image. Net long term and permanent arrivals and net migration are not a perfect proxy, I have made that repeatedly clear.

I am suggesting that it can be a useful leading directional indicator, which is exactly what the federal government's own Centre For Population says it could be…
AvidCommentator's tweet image. Net long term and permanent arrivals and net migration are not a perfect proxy, I have made that repeatedly clear.

I am suggesting that it can be a useful leading directional indicator, which is exactly what the federal government's own Centre For Population says it could be…

I don't know why you persist with using these misleading statistics when the ABS has come out and indicated that net permanent and long-term arrivals are not a proxy for net overseas migration. abs.gov.au/media-centre/m…



That's a really good point....

What could possibly go wrong with the government issued digital ID?

GreenTyler27's tweet image. What could possibly go wrong with the government issued digital ID?


If we are sitting here in a year's time and there hasn't been a significant uptick in net migration from the lows, I will absolutely and publicly own the fact that I was wrong. Ask yourself if the folks saying I'm wrong will do the same if they are wrong.

The latest Australian net long term and permanent arrivals data for August revealed the second highest level ever for the month. Net arrivals for the month are up 32.2% compared with this time last year and up 70.7% vs this time in 2019.

AvidCommentator's tweet image. The latest Australian net long term and permanent arrivals data for August revealed the second highest level ever for the month.

Net arrivals for the month are up 32.2% compared with this time last year and up 70.7% vs this time in 2019.


The data increasingly points to net migration reaccelerating down the road. Vacancy rates: Back down to record lows (Cotality) Working age population growth: Reaccelerating National accounts population growth: Reaccelerating Net long term & perm arrivals: YTD record high

Net long term arrivals (border crossings) remains relatively elevated and has been a relatively good leading indicator of net overseas migration that has rebounded slightly.

IFM_Economist's tweet image. Net long term arrivals (border crossings) remains relatively elevated and has been a relatively good leading indicator of net overseas migration that has rebounded slightly.


For the year to August, net long term and permanent arrivals into Australia were at their highest level ever. The current figure is up by 22.9k (6.4%) vs last year and up 138.5k (57.4%) vs 2019

AvidCommentator's tweet image. For the year to August, net long term and permanent arrivals into Australia were at their highest level ever.

The current figure is up by 22.9k (6.4%) vs last year and up 138.5k (57.4%) vs 2019

The latest Australian net long term and permanent arrivals data for August revealed the second highest level ever for the month. Net arrivals for the month are up 32.2% compared with this time last year and up 70.7% vs this time in 2019.

AvidCommentator's tweet image. The latest Australian net long term and permanent arrivals data for August revealed the second highest level ever for the month.

Net arrivals for the month are up 32.2% compared with this time last year and up 70.7% vs this time in 2019.

Embracing my inner wildlife photographer today

AvidCommentator's tweet image. Embracing my inner wildlife photographer today
AvidCommentator's tweet image. Embracing my inner wildlife photographer today

Loading...

Something went wrong.


Something went wrong.