bitcoinistan
@BitcoinRonahi
Bitcoin Charts, Analysis, Fundamentals. Path to the enlightenment. No financial advice.
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$BTC usually bottoms 23 months after a new ATH
The 3-Day Death Cross never forms in peak fear. It forms when people say: “The bottom is in.” “We’re recovering.” “This time is different.” That’s when the final crash hits. Projected cross: ~Feb 27 Projected window: ~March 29 Preparation > prediction. 👊
⚠️WARNING⚠️ ANOTHER MEGA CRASH COMING Brace yourself now!!! ⚡ Click Here and watch now: youtu.be/2l7m1eE6T8Q... ⬅️✅
Coinglass has added a Prime subscription - now you can see liquidation data for the past two years. Take a look at how many longs are sitting at the $48K level.
My Uber driver in Dubai told me we’re in a Bitcoin bear market and he’ll buy back in at sub $30,000.
#Bitcoin Production Cost BTC has entered the production cost zone. The lower bound sits near $44.5K. As seen in 2014 and 2022, price can dip slightly below the band before a structural recovery
DAT percent buying has collapsed to 70% over the last 2 months. The last time we crossed under this threshold was 2022.
Bitcoin's NUPL is sitting in the yellow Fear section, with history suggesting that bear markets bottom during red Capitulation periods.
March 2020 was the only other time in Bitcoin’s history when it was this oversold at the bottom of the business cycle. Match + Kindling
🔄UPDATE: The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio (90D-SMA) continues to trend lower (~1.32), approaching 1, echoing diminishing liquidity. Historically, a sustained break below 1 has overlapped with broad-based capitulation, where realized losses outpace profit-taking across the market.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio (90D-SMA) continues to trend lower (~1.5), moving closer to 1, reflecting progressively thinner liquidity conditions. A sustained break below 1 has historically coincided with broad-based capitulation, where realized losses dominate profit-taking
Forming Bottoms for Bitcoin, XRP Price Chart & Altcoin Market, Post Capitulation Accumulation Styles youtu.be/PtOyoMXAa_Q
youtube.com
YouTube
Forming Bottoms for Bitcoin, XRP Price Chart & Altcoin Market, Post...
The Business Cycle and the RSI are totally aligned. Both pointing for the full bull reversal. Source @TechDev_52
Long-term Bitcoin $BTC holder behavior is shifting.
$BTC 🥶
Something really interesting: once the $BTC supply in loss and the BTC supply in profit merge, it always trigger a reversal. It happened in 2015, in 2019 and 2023 👀
Bitcoin Yardstick has NEVER been lower. Deep deep value.
Long-term holder puking ending? Historically LTH dumping takes about 2 years from peak holdings to price bottom, we just past that today.
JUST IN: Bitcoin is now more likely to crash below $30k this year than to rebound to last year's ATH.
If Bitcoin $BTC digs into the Banana peel as deeply as in past bear market cycles, then the bulls should not need to suffer too far south of $42,000 We are a hop, skip and jump from there
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