Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Macro Trading, Flow Following, Deep Learning Model Building. CEO Modern Macro Technologies http://youtube.com/@mmtmacrotrader

appliedmmt.com

Joined March 2016

3KPosts 5KFollowers 453Following

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Pinned

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Jun 9, 2023

The MMT Macro Trader Starter Pack - Data Driven Applied MMT Analysis Videos: Trading youtu.be/WTK1liv6Og4 Employment youtu.be/RlXhr8QOYcU Inflation youtu.be/lzpDXNE1CZ8 Rates youtu.be/75d6-zoDLE4 Tweets/🧵 Unemployment Inflation…

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Feb 28, 2023

The Goal: Build a deep learning neural network using only sectoral balances to predict the unemployment rate. Why? To see if core MMT data can explain unemployment and validate a deep learning architecture for further macro & market analysis. An MMT Research 🧵 1/11

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Oct 2

Few might remember this but we had a president once shut down the global economy, crash markets, and then hand out thousand dollar stimmys to everyone.

*Walter Bloomberg

@DeItaone

Oct 2

TRUMP SAYS HE IS CONSIDERING TAXPAYER REBATES OF $1,000 TO $2,000 USING TARIFF MONEY

Douglas reposted

Ben Kizemchuk

@BenKizemchuk

Oct 2

Very few guys on here have an actual understanding of the plumbing. @MMTmacrotrader is one of them. Watch: youtube.com/watch?v=3ynl-g…

BenKizemchuk's tweet image. Very few guys on here have an actual understanding of the plumbing.
@MMTmacrotrader is one of them.
Watch: youtube.com/watch?v=3ynl-g…

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Oct 1

The 18 month divergence between Tax Receipt Acceleration and Bank Credit is starting to get concerning. The implication here is that little of the credit expansion were seeing is going to productive growth. Means we're probably quite a ways up the Minsky curve at this point.

MMTmacrotrader's tweet image. The 18 month divergence between Tax Receipt Acceleration and Bank Credit is starting to get concerning. The implication here is that little of the credit expansion were seeing is going to productive growth. Means we're probably quite a ways up the Minsky curve at this point.

Douglas reposted

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

May 1

Throughout the worst of the selling DeepMMT remained bullish, seeing the selloff as a massive dislocation of price relative to flows. According to the model, the current rally has a ways to go until it gets back to where price is properly reflecting flows.

MMTmacrotrader's tweet image. Throughout the worst of the selling DeepMMT remained bullish, seeing the selloff as a massive dislocation of price relative to flows.

According to the model, the current rally has a ways to go until it gets back to where price is properly reflecting flows.

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Sep 28

~$120B tax drain over 2 weeks, RRP empty, liquidity signaling tight and a possible govt shutdown. October shaping up to be a very volatile month. Keep an eye on the flows!

MMTmacrotrader's tweet image. ~$120B tax drain over 2 weeks, RRP empty, liquidity signaling tight and a possible govt shutdown.

October shaping up to be a very volatile month. Keep an eye on the flows!

Ben Kizemchuk

@BenKizemchuk

Sep 26

Guys.... this should not be going back up........

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Sep 17

Going Live 🔴 at 5:00 pm et Discussing the impact of todays rate cuts and the implication on markets heading into next year. tldr: its not inflation risk, its a market crash risk. 🔗👇

MMTmacrotrader's tweet image. Going Live 🔴 at 5:00 pm et

Discussing the impact of todays rate cuts and the implication on markets heading into next year.

tldr: its not inflation risk, its a market crash risk.

🔗👇

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Sep 17

If today does not mark a major reversal in the dollar then we are cooked. The dollar should rally here, under "normal" circumstances. A failure to rally means the rest of the world no longer cares to export to the U.S. In real terms, this is devastating for the America. To be…

MMTmacrotrader's tweet image. If today does not mark a major reversal in the dollar then we are cooked. The dollar should rally here, under "normal" circumstances. A failure to rally means the rest of the world no longer cares to export to the U.S. In real terms, this is devastating for the America.

To be…

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Sep 17

Rate cuts, at this point in the cycle, just pull forward so many of the systemic risks that have been brewing underneath the surface for the past 5 years or so. The impact of higher interest income on both the macro economy and portfolios can not be understated.

Douglas reposted

Relearning Economics

@RelearningEcon

Sep 17

📌 Bitcoin's price isn't driven by "Fed liquidity." It's fiscal flows. A thread, based on @MMTmacrotrader's work. 🧵1/14

Douglas reposted

Dr. Steve Keen

@ProfSteveKeen

Sep 17

Using MMT to Forecast Bitcoin [with data science] youtu.be/CPikXZPBLdw?si… via @YouTube

ProfSteveKeen's tweet card. Using MMT to Forecast Bitcoin [with data science]

youtube.com

YouTube

Using MMT to Forecast Bitcoin [with data science]

Source: youtube.com

Douglas

@MMTmacrotrader

Sep 16

Retail sales booming and being carried by the top 10% of income earners. Keep telling yourself higher rates & the accompanying interest income don't impact growth because of MPC and the data will continue to prove your wrong.