Ben
@PatternProfits
$NQ $ES 📈📉 Trading Futures & Selling Premium. Much like playing poker, I bet when probabilities are favorable. Time Based Liquidity, OR/IB Breaks, FVGs, +EV
My $ES view into Tuesday, 10/14. $VIX lower, so expectation for business as usual with price action more orderly than what we've witnessed since Friday's tariff headline.
Focused more on $NQ today because that's where the price action pointed me. Here's a final look at $ES. Most refer to these as gamma levels, but dinosaurs like me know them as pain levels. Many will be familiar with the term "max pain" from OpEx pinning. This is basically the…
Stoked! Final look here as I'm wiping the slate clean and mapping out a new one for tomorrow. $NQ
Just a coincidence. Nothing to see here. $NQ
Having drawn this up on Saturday... to see the levels play out in the overnight session remains quite entertaining, if nothing else. $NQ
1st FVGs after 10am for both $ES $NQ printed green but quickly inversed. IB close right at the midpoint with the low printing first. Messages mixed.
$NQ Pattern 1 this morning sees 98% probability of the NY session breaking at least one side of the London range. If London high is taken first, London low is taken 44% of the time. If London low is taken first, London high is taken 45% of the time. 43% probability of taking both…
$NQ gap higher holds overnight having just swept the London/Asia lows but still trading inside Friday's range. London high 24945.75, descending 5MA near 25138 & Friday's high 25388 POI above. Midnight Open 24778, Daily Pivot 24578.25 & Friday's low 24158.50 POI below.
Good morning. $ES higher overnight but trading inside Friday's range having just swept the London/Asia lows. Midnight Open 6671, London high 6706.25, descending 5MA near 6764 & Friday's high 6806.50 POI above. Daily Pivot & o/n low 6633, Friday's low 6540.25 POI below.
Having drawn this up on Saturday... to see the levels play out in the overnight session remains quite entertaining, if nothing else. $NQ
$NQ view into Monday, 10/13. Expectation for volatility in both directions with $VIX elevated.
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Powell is scheduled to speak midday on Tuesday. Outside of that event, it appears we may not get any data this week.
$NQ Daily. Similar look here as to what we discussed with $ES. Bit of a divergence with $NQ not quite tagging the ⚓️VWAP from off the August low (white). As ugly as Friday was, it's important to keep in mind Wednesday & Thursday both saw new ATHs. Friday started as a very quiet…
$ES Daily. Sliced through several ⚓️VWAP levels on Friday but finding support at the ⚓️VWAP from off the August low (white). Handoff method gives another ⚓️VWAP level to be aware of near 6435 (red), but with the backtracking already in full swing, ⚓️VWAP from off the ATH (teal)…
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As one might expect, $NASI $NYSI both rolled back over with $NYSI getting the worst of it last week. We're moving into the heart of the tech outperformance window, so we'll see if the headlines will allow seasonality to shine through.
$NYMO will start the week in deeply oversold territory coming in at -71. This is the most oversold $NYMO has been since April, when a wave of new tariffs were initiated on Liberation Day. Before that, December of last year saw $NYMO tag -106 on, you guessed it, new tariff policy.
Call OI significantly > than Put OI at a specific strike = Call Wall 🔴 Put OI significantly > than Call OI at a specific strike = Put Support 🟢 Mixed Call/Put OI = Chop Zone 🟡 Transition from Call leaning <> Put leaning = Flip Zone 🟣 Highest OI Calls & Puts = Pin Zone 📌
$NQ view into Monday, 10/13. Expectation for volatility in both directions with $VIX elevated.
Still have to sort through the data for the Qs. I'd rather start fresh tomorrow & take my time like I did with $ES tonight. There's a lot to study & I believe there's value in the process itself. For those interested, I'll have $NQ posted before 1pm kickoff. 🏈 GN, all! 😴💤
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