Jiaxin (Jason) He
@jasonhehehe
Research Assistant @InnovateEconomy | Innovation & industrial policy, international trade, borderlands history, and hot takes on films
you're more likely to think AI is coming for your job if you don't use AI from @ngoldschlag agglomerations.substack.com/p/peeling-the-… HT @ModeledBehavior
As I wrote with @SpeakSamuel and @jasonhehehe last week, DHS is about to adopt a weighted lottery rule that will massively crank up misclassificaiton of H-1B workers. The obsession with Wage Levels and occupations is dumb. Select the people with the highest salaries!
There are two main problems with Trump's new H-1B lottery overhaul: 1.) It uses the flawed "Wage Level" system to prioritize which applicants get selected. The Wage Level system is unreliable because it puts low paying occupations on the same par as high paying occupations. And…
Here is the Trump Administration's latest H-1B proposal in a nutshell: - DHS: We're going to overhaul the way H-1B applicants are selected and only give visas to the highest skilled people. - H-1B critics: So you're going to scrap the H-1B lottery? - DHS: No, we're keeping…
The administration is trying to improve H-1Bs. Thats great. Unfortunately, what they are proposing will make not fix the problems, and makes some worse. My colleagues @cojobrien @SpeakSamuel and @jasonhehehe have a better idea: eig.org/eig-letter-dhs…
The Center for Immigration Studies issued a public comment asking for the Trump Administration to scrap the H-1B lottery in favor of ranking H-1Bs based on "Wage Levels," which only look at the highest paid people relative to their occupations (see their public comment).…
Last time I'll bug my feed with this thread of examples, but they highlight some of the many dumb ways DHS is proposing to reallocate H-1Bs. Hard to look at any of these cases and go "yeah, that's in the national interest." x.com/cojobrien/stat…
A flavor of what the "merit-based" H-1B weighted lottery would do: A landscape architect in Bethlehem, PA making $66,000/year would have double the odds of being awarded an H-1B visa of a pediatric surgeon down the street earning $230,000/year.
For a summary of the case we made in the letter, check out our blog post (w/ @SpeakSamuel + @jasonhehehe on Agglomerations. agglomerations.substack.com/p/theres-a-bet…
I got a PhD so I could ask ChatGPT if a bear is fat. Like Kasparov vs. Deep Blue, the team at EIG pitted human reasoning against the machine. But our arena wasn’t a chessboard, it was the salmon-filled rivers of Alaska. I give you: Fat Bear Week and the Fate of the World! 🐻🤖
As I say to some Abundance Democrats, ending race- and sex-based contracting should be table stakes. If you can't take this on, which is immoral, inefficient, and helps no actually disadvantaged person, you're not serious about cost-drivers.
Filling in for @jimgeraghty on today's @NRO Morning Jolt, I wrote about the Trump administration's efforts to end unconstitutional racial preferences in federal contracting. Also, how a Presbyterian family in California grows the fruit used in rituals for the ongoing Jewish…
My letter to @WSJ on the H-1B rule: "There is a better way to achieve the president’s stated goal: Let markets work . . . The result would be certainty for employers, rewards to genuine scarcity and maximum upside for America’s economy."
It is unfortunate to see EPI continue to tout their obviously flawed analysis that claims H-1B workers are underpaid because it doesn't account for them being younger than the average worker. This bad research was used directly by the admin epi.org/policywatch/tr…
What the current consensus about the STEM labor market gets wrong There is a broad consensus forming that students and workers going into STEM fields have been getting a raw deal. There are a few groups driving this sentiment: AI doomers convinced mass unemployment is imminent,…
The challenge: 21 million workers earn less than $16/hr, two-thirds are women, and in states like WV & LA, 1 in 5 prime-age men don’t have jobs. Too many Americans face low pay or no pay. So, let’s talk about what a WAGE SUBSIDY can do. [1/8] 🧵
This is how the rollout of the H-1B $100,000 fee has gone thus far: - During the Friday White House Press Conference, the Secretary of Commerce, who has no authority over immigration, was invited to communicate the rollout of the new policy, where he said that it would be an…
Winning the H-1B visa lottery has a massively positive effect on tech startups:
The United States is Starved for Talent, Re-Upped marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…
As a neurosurgeon I care a lot about road safety. By now you’ve probably seen @Waymo’s stunning safety results (like 91% fewer serious crashes). But they didn’t just publish data headlines. They released the raw CSV files and data dictionaries. I did a much deeper analysis. A…
Can’t get over this Amtrak ad from 1996. We used to be a proper country
It's now clear that the Hyundai immigration raid was an operational mistake. A big reason why this mistake happened is because the agents who raided this plant (Homeland Security Investigations) have no experience in worksite enforcement. They previously worked on high priority…
"... I don’t want to frighten off or disincentivize Investment into America by outside Countries or Companies. We welcome them, we welcome their employees, & we are willing to proudly say we will learn from them, & do even better than them at their own game." - President Trump
.@jasonhehehe and I wrote about counter-productive tariff policy last week: High-tech manufacturers are far more reliant on imported parts + machinery than low-tech peers. The goal of blunt tariffs is to reshore this production, but they wallop these firms' input costs. 1/
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