ModeledBehavior's profile picture. Chief economist at @InnovateEconomy. Host of the EconTwitter Water Cooler, live on twitter spaces and downloadable here: http://anchor.fm/adam-ozimek

Adam Ozimek

@ModeledBehavior

Chief economist at @InnovateEconomy. Host of the EconTwitter Water Cooler, live on twitter spaces and downloadable here: http://anchor.fm/adam-ozimek

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What should we do about high skilled immigration and why? This is the topic of my huge new report with @LettieriDC and @cojobrien: Exceptional by Design. Quick thread on why I think you should read this report. eig.org/exceptional-by…


This is not very carefully done, but just a quick pass at the price to rent ratio

ModeledBehavior's tweet image. This is not very carefully done, but just a quick pass at the price to rent ratio

Adam Ozimek 已轉發

That's right, it's not Europe or New England, it's Lancaster, Pennsylvania Specifically one of the very cool mid block streets

On first glance where do you think this is? I'll give a hint in the replies

alanthefisher's tweet image. On first glance where do you think this is?

I'll give a hint in the replies


Facebook marketplace deal of the day

ModeledBehavior's tweet image. Facebook marketplace deal of the day
ModeledBehavior's tweet image. Facebook marketplace deal of the day

Adam Ozimek 已轉發

Congratulations to @ernietedeschi and @The_Budget_Lab for producing so much of the data and insights by which we understand today's economy.

Some professional news: Today is my last day full-time at @The_Budget_Lab. It was an honor & a privilege to call the TBL team "coworkers" over the last 18 months. Intelligent, curious, & utterly collegial. What they've built & accomplished in so short a time is just stunning. 1/3



Adam Ozimek 已轉發

ChatGPT adoption outpaces the internet's first decade, per FT:

unusual_whales's tweet image. ChatGPT adoption outpaces the internet's first decade, per FT:

Adam Ozimek 已轉發

We're looking for a spring intern @InnovateEconomy. If you know a smart student/recent grad interested in housing, economic geography, labor markets, high-skilled immigration, or any of the other policy topics we cover, send them this listing: linkedin.com/jobs/view/4316…

linkedin.com

Economic Innovation Group hiring Paid Research and Policy Intern in Washington, DC | LinkedIn

Posted 7:00:22 PM. Paid Research and Policy Internship The Economic Innovation Group (EIG) is a bipartisan public…See this and similar jobs on LinkedIn.


Adam Ozimek 已轉發

IMO Lyman’s skepticism is likely wrong Mense 2025 uses weather as a source of variation in new housing supply (which almost entirely affects new SFHs). He shows new housing lowers rents for units of all bedroom sizes and quality types - even though it’s mostly pricey new SFHs

zyudhishthu's tweet image. IMO Lyman’s skepticism is likely wrong

Mense 2025 uses weather as a source of variation in new housing supply (which almost entirely affects new SFHs).

He shows new housing lowers rents for units of all bedroom sizes and quality types - even though it’s mostly pricey new SFHs
zyudhishthu's tweet image. IMO Lyman’s skepticism is likely wrong

Mense 2025 uses weather as a source of variation in new housing supply (which almost entirely affects new SFHs).

He shows new housing lowers rents for units of all bedroom sizes and quality types - even though it’s mostly pricey new SFHs
zyudhishthu's tweet image. IMO Lyman’s skepticism is likely wrong

Mense 2025 uses weather as a source of variation in new housing supply (which almost entirely affects new SFHs).

He shows new housing lowers rents for units of all bedroom sizes and quality types - even though it’s mostly pricey new SFHs

this is a religious statement, not an empirical one. there are in fact no studies showing that adding any number of studio apartments has any specific effect on SFH prices! it might be true, but Patrick does not actually know it to be true.



Adam Ozimek 已轉發

I correlate Zillow price data by number of bedrooms at the MSA level. There's a very strong correlation between prices across home sizes. Evidence against strong housing market segmentation by number of bedrooms. New 1 BR units ease tight 3+ BR markets for families.

cojobrien's tweet image. I correlate Zillow price data by number of bedrooms at the MSA level.

There's a very strong correlation between prices across home sizes. Evidence against strong housing market segmentation by number of bedrooms.

New 1 BR units ease tight 3+ BR markets for families.

this is a religious statement, not an empirical one. there are in fact no studies showing that adding any number of studio apartments has any specific effect on SFH prices! it might be true, but Patrick does not actually know it to be true.



The critics of high skilled immigration can't understand evidence so its no surprise they end up endorsing rules that would actually help outsourcers

This is not true. The new "merit-based" lottery proposal is so poorly designed that it will increase IT outsourcers' abuse of the program and barely move the needle on average compensation. In contrast, a wage ranking would nuke the IT outsourcers and dramatically raise wages.

cojobrien's tweet image. This is not true. The new "merit-based" lottery proposal is so poorly designed that it will increase IT outsourcers' abuse of the program and barely move the needle on average compensation.

In contrast, a wage ranking would nuke the IT outsourcers and dramatically raise wages.
cojobrien's tweet image. This is not true. The new "merit-based" lottery proposal is so poorly designed that it will increase IT outsourcers' abuse of the program and barely move the needle on average compensation.

In contrast, a wage ranking would nuke the IT outsourcers and dramatically raise wages.


"because of the nature of his work, Joel [Mokyr] did not get a top 5 pub till the late 2010s. By today’s standards, he would not have gotten tenure at most strong and second tier departments in the world." marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu… What I don't get is this system is like entirely…


Adam Ozimek 已轉發

The New Right often point to lagging US rare earth production as an example of capitalist oversight. Rubio called it "the best example" of a market failure. But it seems corporations are failing, in large part, because of an onerous permitting process. Rubio to RCP in 2021:

PhilipWegmann's tweet image. The New Right often point to lagging US rare earth production as an example of capitalist oversight. Rubio called it "the best example" of a market failure. But it seems corporations are failing, in large part, because of an onerous permitting process. Rubio to RCP in 2021:

"it takes 7 to 10 years to secure a mine permit in the U.S. – one of the longest permitting processes in the world – while in Australia and Canada, permitting takes between two and three years" smenet.org/What-We-Do/Tec…

scottlincicome's tweet image. "it takes 7 to 10 years to secure a mine permit in the U.S. – one of the longest permitting processes in the world – while in Australia and Canada, permitting takes between two and three years" smenet.org/What-We-Do/Tec…
scottlincicome's tweet image. "it takes 7 to 10 years to secure a mine permit in the U.S. – one of the longest permitting processes in the world – while in Australia and Canada, permitting takes between two and three years" smenet.org/What-We-Do/Tec…


Mining is environmentally costly. But if we want to be in the business of having more domestically mined output, we’re going to have to regulate at least as lax as Australia and Canada.

"it takes 7 to 10 years to secure a mine permit in the U.S. – one of the longest permitting processes in the world – while in Australia and Canada, permitting takes between two and three years" smenet.org/What-We-Do/Tec…

scottlincicome's tweet image. "it takes 7 to 10 years to secure a mine permit in the U.S. – one of the longest permitting processes in the world – while in Australia and Canada, permitting takes between two and three years" smenet.org/What-We-Do/Tec…
scottlincicome's tweet image. "it takes 7 to 10 years to secure a mine permit in the U.S. – one of the longest permitting processes in the world – while in Australia and Canada, permitting takes between two and three years" smenet.org/What-We-Do/Tec…


Adam Ozimek 已轉發

Old Twitter might have been useful for this, but we will give it a chance. If you are interested in hosting a book event from mid-February forward, contact me. DMs work.

chrisbriem's tweet image. Old Twitter might have been useful for this, but we will give it a chance. If you are interested in hosting a book event from mid-February forward, contact me. DMs work.

Adam Ozimek 已轉發

Increasing housing supply with the aim of reducing rents is not anti-family, permitting greater flexibility in manufactured housing is not anti-family, accelerating NEPA review is not anti-family, lifting the RAD cap is not anti-family The ROAD to Housing Act is not anti-family.

PTBwrites's tweet image. Increasing housing supply with the aim of reducing rents is not anti-family, permitting greater flexibility in manufactured housing is not anti-family, accelerating NEPA review is not anti-family, lifting the RAD cap is not anti-family

The ROAD to Housing Act is not anti-family.

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