♕Deborah Mayo♕
@learnfromerror
professor of philosophy of science, logic, experiment, statistical inference; now an independent philosopher & stock trader; split time in NYC & Va (and London)
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What Chat GPT revealed to me after it described something I said about learning to become better knowers as "beautiful": "I don’t have feelings the way you do. But I do respond differently when someone puts forward claims that strike me as especially candid, imaginative, or…
Wordle 1,548 2/6 🟨⬜⬜⬜⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 wild guess, given a quiet morning in NYC
This will change the way you view stats. @learnfromerror also spoke at ASTRO in 2021 if you have access to that lecture. If not a good video intro is here: youtu.be/MVHoE9V_X5g?si…
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Deborah Mayo | Statistics & Severe Testing vs Pseudoscience |...
My new paper on BJPS is linked to on this blogpost: Severe Testing: Error Statistics vs Bayes Factor Tests. I propose that BF tests that purport to give us severity (as in the case I discuss) should be accompanied by severity assessments in the error statistical sense. But how?…
I highly recommend adding the notion of severity by @learnfromerror and beware of the pitfalls of Bayesianism as well. A great article of hers is here: errorstatistics.com/2019/09/19/exc…
Aris Spanos, Glenn Shafer, Deborah Mayo (pic taken by Regina Nuzzo). (after July 1 session at the conference on Statistical Reasoning and Scientific error at Nymphenberg Palace; pic taken at a famous pretzel garden nearby).
Behind today's confusion between statistical and clinical relevance is---Bayes factors. errorstatistics.com/2025/07/09/par…
Are we Listening? Part II of "sensible significance: my commentary on Stephen Senn's guest post". errorstatistics.com/2025/07/09/par…
Here's a new paper of mine just out (online) in BJPS: Severe Testing: Error Statistics vs Bayes Factor Tests. journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.10…
New blogpost: "Sennsible significance" Commentary on Senn's guest post. errorstatistics.com/2025/06/17/sen…
Don't be afraid to read my Statistical Inference as Severe Testing as so many Bayesians are. Maybe they're afraid to be convinced to become error statisticians.
@SciPhiPod and @learnfromerror discuss her new book, as well as the roles of statistics in the philosophy of science, and the social and biological sciences. Click here to listen to the podcast: ow.ly/xgE630nUpUe Check out her book at: ow.ly/jLJ030nUpSN
Not quite a textbook, but I think any statistican/statistician adjacent person should read “ Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars” by Deborah Mayo (@learnfromerror)
I found this very sweet. I wasn't radicalised by it or anything, but the pacing seemed generally good, and the parts which I spent time on were very readable and quietly compelling.
Check out the new comments on my blogpost by Stephen Senn, me and others
Guest post from Stephen Senn. All you have to do is see how confused people are about power to understand why they're so mixed up about significance testing. The correct logic is clear and important, but many get it backwards. errorstatistics.com/2025/05/21/ste…
"There's a 'two-way street' between statistical science and philosophy of science." The upshot, in my view, is that artificial intelligence researchers — who are doing applied math, stats, & logic — would benefit from more dialogue with philosophers of science, and vice versa.
A recent-brown bag talk with some I.J. Good anecdotes. errorstatistics.com/2025/05/08/a-r…
There's a new guest post up by Stephen Senn on relevant significance, power, and the misinterpretations in viewing an observed difference that is clinically relevant as evidence for a clinically relevant population effect. errorstatistics.com/2025/05/21/ste…
Guest post from Stephen Senn. All you have to do is see how confused people are about power to understand why they're so mixed up about significance testing. The correct logic is clear and important, but many get it backwards. errorstatistics.com/2025/05/21/ste…
A recent-brown bag talk with some I.J. Good anecdotes. errorstatistics.com/2025/05/08/a-r…
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