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Another version of this idea. Two schematics of reaccumulation on the 3M timeframe. Key differences: Schematic 1 $Bitcoin dead cat bounces into Q1 and Q2 will set the first collective bearmarket low. Shorter first altseason. Third collective bearmarket will end below the
This is a crazy idea. I cannot even comprehend something like this happening but put your tinfoil hat and dive with me... Colectively we seem to be divided into 2 camps: $BTC is going into a 70%+ usual bearmarket as per 4 year cycle. OR $BTC is going to break the 4 year cycle
When I think about what is to come and I map out in my mind how can I play going further, this is what I have in mind. This is how I would do it.
$Btc still doing it isn’t it? If this is true, next week we should see some upside move that will hit a sell wall and give off the entire move. In 2022 the second capitation move brought $btc from around 30k to 17k in just 2 weeks. That would be 71k to 38k or so. Unless $btc
Looking at $ETH daily market structure, I cannot help but notice how similar it looks to the tariff crash. A series of Lower Lows and Lower Highs, where they left the highs open, all of them are left unswept. A structure like this has no resistance above, only liquidity to prop
As long as $ETH holds the low, the direction is 3.8k by May.
There is one more scenario which is not on most of anyone´s cards. The altseason scenario. For this scenario we need to see $BTC dominance drop like a rock while $ETH is going up and makes an obvious and undeniable ATH, while the altcoins run also. The problem is that after
Now, if we do not take into account where the euphoria really happend and we count the phases blindly, as they usually happen, in their usual order... If we do this, then $ETH should be in the red phase, which would most likely give us 1k by May, a bottom formed by October and
Now, if we do not take into account where the euphoria really happend and we count the phases blindly, as they usually happen, in their usual order... If we do this, then $ETH should be in the red phase, which would most likely give us 1k by May, a bottom formed by October and
If $ETH is in the blue zone, which is the transition phase, then we should go past the 3.8k-4k region and go straight for the High of the 6M candle, put the High in July, come back to test the 50% of the wick and start the Euphoria phase. This is also very possible. We have an
If $ETH is in the blue zone, which is the transition phase, then we should go past the 3.8k-4k region and go straight for the High of the 6M candle, put the High in July, come back to test the 50% of the wick and start the Euphoria phase. This is also very possible. We have an
If $ETH is in the orange zone where the accumulation is made, then we should not go past 3.8k-4k region, more over, we would reject from there and go back to 1k by October. This idea is highly possible since it is in sync with all the usual 4 phases. We already took the 50% of
If $ETH is in the orange zone where the accumulation is made, then we should not go past 3.8k-4k region, more over, we would reject from there and go back to 1k by October. This idea is highly possible since it is in sync with all the usual 4 phases. We already took the 50% of
Seems like a bounce is very likely
The crowd sees uncertainty. Bitcoiners see asymmetry forming.
This chart is crazy. Full blown altseason is not on any of my cards. Not holding any altcoin is risky. Selling altcoins on the next bounce is risky. I guess holding on until you see btc.d in the dumpster and having cash in case we see $Eth at 1k is the best approach here.
The way I see it, $ETH will most likely end up in one of this places in the next move. It will either be at 1k or 3.8k by May OR 6 to 8k by July. If it goes to 1k by May, the bottom is in. If it goes to 3.8k by May, it can reject and go to 1k by October, or it can flip it and
How can this selloff look so symmetric without being controled? It´s almost like a ball pushed under water. You can only push it to the bottom of the bucket, at some point, you gotta release it. How many sequences like this can they pull until $ETH reaches the bottom?
So...It´s time for an update on $PEPE. 15th of February was yesterday and $PEPE has closed the second unfinished 3D candle. I said that after 15th of February we will know which is the next direction and that it will be a much bigger move. The fact that $PEPE was down in this
This cycle euphoria was front runned because of the ´´4 year cycle´´. The first and second cycle, the euphoria started in the third 6M candle after the halving. This cycle, the euphoria started in the same 6M candle with the halving. The fact that we had the euphoria much
This is what I mean when I say it is obvious where the euphoria occured. What $PEPE got last cycle was a weak euphoria phase where $ETH did not managed to go to ATH. The correction is clearly over and what is happening now is the accumulation phase. If this cycle will be in the
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