#pymc результаты поиска
𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐛𝐞 𝐬𝐥𝐨𝐰. Hear how Leonardo leveled up in the Applied Bayesian Modeling Workshop. Next cohort starting Oct 6: dub.link/XvOzGAq #BayesianModeling #PyMC #MCMC

“Why does #PyMC-Marketing outperform #Meridian in accuracy?” It comes down to design: efficient likelihood functions, Fourier seasonality, and a model structure built for real-world data. Watch the full webinar 👉 dub.link/N3JVLAZX
書籍「RとStanではじめるベイズ統計モデリングによるデータ分析入門」をPythonとPyMCとBambiで。 第5部 状態空間モデルに突入! ローカルレベルモデルはうまく行きました! この先、AR()とGaussianRandomWalk()で乗り切れるか、ちょっと心配😅 (続く) #のんびり統計 #PyMC #ベイズモデリング

Not a fan of #PyMC's `with pm.Model()` context API? Interesting new API idea for a function based API by @zaxtax. Implementation is just a few lines of code and it integrates seamlessly with the rest of the API. zinkov.com/posts/2023-alt…

What if your next product test didn’t need a human panel? New research by #PyMC Labs & #Colgate-Palmolive shows LLMs can replicate human survey patterns with 90%+ accuracy—no fine-tuning, no panels, no bias. Read the white paper: dub.link/ECczk6S #SyntheticConsumers
Can AI run your marketing engine? Join #PyMC Labs, Plan.Net Group & THE MARCOM ENGINE at #InnoDay25 to explore how Bayesian agents orchestrate the entire marketing value chain — turning marketing into a measurable growth engine. 🔗 dub.link/w9cogEJ

書籍「RとStanではじめるベイズ統計モデリングによるデータ分析入門」をPythonとPyMCとBambiで。 NUTSサンプラーには「nutpie」を使っています。 プログレスバーが可愛いです☺️ 自環境の問題かもですが、numpyroやblackjaxを使うときは...(続く) #のんびり統計 #PyMC #ベイズモデリング

You’ve been saying you’ll learn #Bayesian modeling someday. Make someday 𝐭𝐨𝐝𝐚𝐲. The next 𝐀𝐩𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐝 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐩 from #PyMC Labs begins October 6 and registration closes this week. Secure your spot now: dub.link/ngodkW9
#PyMC #PyDataKampala Probabilistic programming in Python confers a number of advantages including; 1. multi-platform compatibility 2. an expressive yet clean and readable syntax 3. easy integration with other scientific libraries, and extensibility via C, C++, Fortran or Cython

Convenient Bayesian Marketing Mix Modeling with #PyMC Marketing towardsdatascience.com/convenient-bay… by @robert_kubler




Most ML models predict, but don’t show how certain those predictions are. #Bayesian methods with #PyMC change that. Tonight in Montreal, Christopher Fonnesbeck will show how to model uncertainty with practical workflows + live coding. 🔗 dub.link/YoRz04P

Beautiful feeling: reproducing the same modelling results as a paper (direct.mit.edu/opmi/article/d…) with a totally independent implementation (in #pymc) based just on the description in the text (first: paper, second: mine)


Your model isn’t enough if it can’t be trusted. Learn how to build robust, decision-ready Bayesian models in our live workshop. 🚨 Last chance! Seats close this week. 👉 Save your spot dub.link/pzkZPEL Featuring @AllenDowney (Think Bayes). #BayesianModeling #PyMC
Stop waiting weeks for modeling answers! Our new Expert Access Program (EAP) gives your team direct access to our #Bayesian and #PyMC experts for timely answers, guidance, and confidence to move faster. Learn more👉 dub.link/BAbeiyf
𝐎𝐩𝐞𝐧 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐟𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐰𝐞 𝐛𝐮𝐢𝐥𝐝 𝐭𝐨𝐠𝐞𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫. Join Rob Zinkov at @pydataamsterdam 10th Anniversary on Sep 26, 1:20 PM for a beginner-friendly #PyMC sprint. Learn, contribute, and connect with the community! #PyTensor

Our Applied #Bayesian Modeling Workshop - October cohort is now open! After incredible feedback from August, we're running it again, starting Oct 6th. Learn directly from the creators of #PyMC in 4 weeks of hands-on training! Register before spots fill: dub.link/QWC7F2N

“Why does #PyMC-Marketing outperform #Meridian in accuracy?” It comes down to design: efficient likelihood functions, Fourier seasonality, and a model structure built for real-world data. Watch the full webinar 👉 dub.link/N3JVLAZX
Introducing AthlyticZ Live Interactive instruction on our custom LMS with industry experts. First up: PyMC expert Alex Andorra leading sports-data case studies. Learn live and keep progressing on-platform: athlyticz.com/cohorts/alex-a… #python #PyMC #sportsanalytics
Can AI run your marketing engine? Join #PyMC Labs, Plan.Net Group & THE MARCOM ENGINE at #InnoDay25 to explore how Bayesian agents orchestrate the entire marketing value chain — turning marketing into a measurable growth engine. 🔗 dub.link/w9cogEJ

What if your next product test didn’t need a human panel? New research by #PyMC Labs & #Colgate-Palmolive shows LLMs can replicate human survey patterns with 90%+ accuracy—no fine-tuning, no panels, no bias. Read the white paper: dub.link/ECczk6S #SyntheticConsumers
Can #LLMs really estimate prices, and why does it matter for business? At #PyMC Labs, we built a “Price is Right” inspired benchmark testing models’ price knowledge & strategy. Results show accuracy isn’t enough; reasoning matters. Explore 👉dub.link/eSu9sVm
You’ve been saying you’ll learn #Bayesian modeling someday. Make someday 𝐭𝐨𝐝𝐚𝐲. The next 𝐀𝐩𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐝 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐩 from #PyMC Labs begins October 6 and registration closes this week. Secure your spot now: dub.link/ngodkW9
Final session of our #PyTensor Workshop is live! Discover custom rewrites, speed up diagonal matrix inversions 80x, and see a mini-PyMC in action - one graph powering the full Bayesian workflow. Watch here: dub.link/MeFg68hgf #PyMC #Python #ML #DataScience
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YouTube
PyTensor Workshop #3 | Custom Rewrites & Building a Mini-PyMC
Deadlines, complex models, new approaches... even strong teams hit roadblocks Our Expert Access Program (EAP) gives access to #PyMC and #Bayesian experts like Niall Oulton to solve tricky models, validate approaches, and strengthen your team. Learn more: dub.link/0wtmrRX



𝐎𝐩𝐞𝐧 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐟𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐰𝐞 𝐛𝐮𝐢𝐥𝐝 𝐭𝐨𝐠𝐞𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫. Join Rob Zinkov at @pydataamsterdam 10th Anniversary on Sep 26, 1:20 PM for a beginner-friendly #PyMC sprint. Learn, contribute, and connect with the community! #PyTensor

Last week we published the most comprehensive #PyMC-Marketing vs. #Meridian benchmark to date. On Oct 1, join our 𝐥𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐰𝐞𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐫 to go deeper into the findings & their impact on #MMM. 🗓️ Register: dub.link/yuP0beh 👉Check the Benchmark: dub.link/XleG1eA

Most ML models predict, but don’t show how certain those predictions are. #Bayesian methods with #PyMC change that. Tonight in Montreal, Christopher Fonnesbeck will show how to model uncertainty with practical workflows + live coding. 🔗 dub.link/YoRz04P

Session 2 of our #PyTensor workshop dives into 𝐆𝐫𝐚𝐩𝐡 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬! Learn eager vs. lazy transformations, autodiff under the hood, and Normalizing Flows. Watch the full session here dub.link/CR3WDRf #PyMC #ML
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YouTube
PyTensor Workshop#2 | Advanced Graph Transformations & Normalizing...
𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐛𝐞 𝐬𝐥𝐨𝐰. Hear how Leonardo leveled up in the Applied Bayesian Modeling Workshop. Next cohort starting Oct 6: dub.link/XvOzGAq #BayesianModeling #PyMC #MCMC

We just dropped the most comprehensive #PyMC-Marketing vs. #Meridian 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐨𝐧 ever conducted! Check out our findings & code 👇👇 dub.link/XleG1eA #MMM #MarketingMixModel #PyMCMarketing #Meridian
Behind every #PyMC model is #PyTensor — a computational graph library for speed, flexibility & autodiff. Session 1 of our PyTensor Workshop is live 🎥 👉 dub.link/pytensor-graphs #PyMC #Python #MachineLearning
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YouTube
PyTensor Workshop #1 | A Deep Dive into Computational Graphs
Stop waiting weeks for modeling answers! Our new Expert Access Program (EAP) gives your team direct access to our #Bayesian and #PyMC experts for timely answers, guidance, and confidence to move faster. Learn more👉 dub.link/BAbeiyf
Our Applied #Bayesian Modeling Workshop - October cohort is now open! After incredible feedback from August, we're running it again, starting Oct 6th. Learn directly from the creators of #PyMC in 4 weeks of hands-on training! Register before spots fill: dub.link/QWC7F2N

We're excited to announce the launch of our Expert Access Program (EAP) Get direct access to #PyMC experts for guidance, validation, & problem-solving without adding headcount! dub.link/TqmSFiC
Market share predictions fail when models ignore how markets really work. At @pydataberlin , @forde_nathaniel shows how PyMC Marketing’s new Consumer Choice module uses Bayesian models for realistic substitution. 🗓️ Sept 1, 4:20 PM | 📍 Room B05-B06 #BayesianStats #PyMC

Most budget planning is just expensive guessing 🎯 @cetagostini tackles this in "Risk Budget Optimization for Causal Mix Models" @PyDataBerlin 2025! 📅 Sept 1st, 5:00-5:30 PM Turn uncertainty into strategic advantage. #PyDataBerlin #BudgetOptimization #PyMC

たのしいベイズモデリング2が楽しい! 第18章は項目反応ツリーモデル。 項目反応理論に様々なモデルがあるのですね! brmsによるモデリングのPyMC5化にはBambiを利用。 テキストと結果が合わず1日苦戦… マッピング行列での変換処理で目的変数がobject型になってたw #のんびり統計 #ベイズ #PyMC




𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐛𝐞 𝐬𝐥𝐨𝐰. Hear how Leonardo leveled up in the Applied Bayesian Modeling Workshop. Next cohort starting Oct 6: dub.link/XvOzGAq #BayesianModeling #PyMC #MCMC

書籍「RとStanではじめるベイズ統計モデリングによるデータ分析入門」をPythonとPyMCとBambiで。 第5部 状態空間モデルに突入! ローカルレベルモデルはうまく行きました! この先、AR()とGaussianRandomWalk()で乗り切れるか、ちょっと心配😅 (続く) #のんびり統計 #PyMC #ベイズモデリング

書籍「RとStanではじめるベイズ統計モデリングによるデータ分析入門」をPythonとPyMCとBambiで。 NUTSサンプラーには「nutpie」を使っています。 プログレスバーが可愛いです☺️ 自環境の問題かもですが、numpyroやblackjaxを使うときは...(続く) #のんびり統計 #PyMC #ベイズモデリング

Convenient Bayesian Marketing Mix Modeling with #PyMC Marketing towardsdatascience.com/convenient-bay… by @robert_kubler




Not a fan of #PyMC's `with pm.Model()` context API? Interesting new API idea for a function based API by @zaxtax. Implementation is just a few lines of code and it integrates seamlessly with the rest of the API. zinkov.com/posts/2023-alt…

「StanとRでベイズ統計モデリング」ですが、 RとStanは興味ないので、PyMC5で翻訳しながら進めているのですが・・・ Rって便利そうですね🤔 PyMC5だと、こんな風にカテゴリ変数でソートして、描画の時にはスライシングしないと・・・ こんな比較描画が一発でできない😩 #Python #PyMC #ベイズ統計




ちなみにマッピング行列での変換処理は・・・ ①画像:分析データ ②画像:マッピング行列 ③画像:変換関数(Rのdendrify関数相当を手組み。ループだらけ😎) ④画像:変換処理・変換後データ ③の整数化漏れに気づくのに1日かかりました。 #のんびり統計 #ベイズ #PyMC




GW中の目標の1つ「たのしいベイズモデリング2ブログの原稿完成」を達成しました! 超うれし✨️ 執筆の先生方の熱意・真剣さ・愛情にやられています。 ありがとうございました。 さて次は? 因果推論を往復、反実仮想機械学習に進む、異常検知ブログを描く… #のんびり統計 #ベイズ #PyMC

📉 Market data is messy. Traditional models assume too much. With PyMC, finance teams can: ✅ Quantify uncertainty ✅ Handle skewed, fat-tailed data ✅ Improve VaR, pricing & more 👉 dub.link/eonSuxd 📬 Need help applying this? DM us or email [email protected] #pymc

Flexible Cohort Retention Analysis with BART in #PyMC Instead of a linear model to estimate the retention rate, uses a flexible non-parametric model (BART) that estimates complex relationships between response and predictors. juanitorduz.github.io/retention_bart/ by @juanitorduz @pymc_devs




たのしいベイズモデリング2の1周目完了! 最終19章は収束するも事後分布統計量がテキストと合致しませんでした(汗) 添付の箱ひげ図は、介入前(青)と介入後(オレンジ)の目的変数の確認用です。 年明けから2周目&ブログ化しようと思います。 #のんびり統計 #ベイズモデリング #PyMC

Can AI run your marketing engine? Join #PyMC Labs, Plan.Net Group & THE MARCOM ENGINE at #InnoDay25 to explore how Bayesian agents orchestrate the entire marketing value chain — turning marketing into a measurable growth engine. 🔗 dub.link/w9cogEJ

朝活でMCMCが収束しなかった問題・・・ お昼休憩に珈琲を飲みながら、色々と試してたら、見事に解決できた😆✌️ 二項分布を使って、観測しきれなかった「真の観測数を推論」するというアプローチ、非常に面白いですね🤔 時系列なのも僕好み(笑) 詳細は・・・ ↓ #Python #ベイズ #PyMC #データ分析



「StanとRでベイズ統計モデリング」の5章に突入しました。 5.1節の重回帰は写経に1日かかってしまいました。 特に時間を使ったのがグラフ群の描画。 難しかったです(頭の体操です)。 添付は最初の難関「手作り散布図行列」。 seabornでは太刀打ちできず… #のんびり統計 #ベイズ #PyMC

自環境の問題かもですが、numpyroやblackjaxを使うときは、現行仕様だとjaxとfloat型を合わせる必要があるので、図のコードを予め実行しておきます。 #のんびり統計 #PyMC #ベイズモデリング

🔥 PyMC-Marketing release is live! → No repeat transactions? Bring covariates for better predictions. → Zero-spend channels breaking your MMM? Fixed. → Scaled channel contributions now computed post-sampling — faster & nutpie-ready! 🔗 dub.link/pymc_marketing #PyMC #MMM

Our Applied #Bayesian Modeling Workshop - October cohort is now open! After incredible feedback from August, we're running it again, starting Oct 6th. Learn directly from the creators of #PyMC in 4 weeks of hands-on training! Register before spots fill: dub.link/QWC7F2N

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