Order Flow Adventures
@OrderFlowAdv
ES / NQ Futures trading ideas, edutainment and journal using charts, order flow tools, MGI + "back of napkin math." For entertainment. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
قد يعجبك
10/3/25 EOD - $SPY Market Tide (left), $SPY Holdings Premium (bottom right) on the day, SPY & $QQQ Premiums (top right).
Today's "guess the close" was 6750 or 6760-6765 earlier in the day. Figured psych level of 6750 (SPX 6700 that had higher call/put OI) or around the prior day close in ES.
Yowza. Yep, that's the move I thought might be possible (flushing RTH open and then ONL) but just wasn't patient for it. 674p I sold for 0.55 hit 3.20. Nice move anyway and nice bounce just a bit above 6750 (SPX had larger put/call OI at the 6700 level on 0 DTE contracts, so…
Took forever for ES to give up any ground. I had a 0.80 target on the XSP 674p, but sold early for 0.55 when there was stalling at VWAP / IBH that I saw as first target. Contract hit initial target of 0.80 and then went on to hit 1.30. Probably should have set it & forget it,…
Smaller pull-backs, tighter price action into highs (XSP chart below). Could be a bit of a warning. Not going to assume a big move is coming to the downside, but if no progress > 6800 ES, alternative is back-testing a bit lower into ES 6785-6790 (VWAP / IBH area) or…
6750 highest call gamma strike at the moment. Tapers off above. Also have call OI at that level. Could stall here or reverse, but now into possible lunch hour chop. For further upside would need to see more volume in further OTM calls as the day progresses. I picked up a…
C-Period held when tested into. Now headed for the weak highs.
Tagged upper expected move based on closing SPX ATM straddle data. Recently testing into ONH where there's positive delta from RTH and ETH sessions. Buyers need to defend 6786-7688 where that positive delta is located. Sellers need to push ES under that to head toward 6779,…
10/2/25 EOD - $SPY Market Tide (left), $SPY Holdings Premium (bottom right) on the day, SPY & $QQQ Premiums (top right).
Crazy. ES closed RTH session at the Daily Upper Estimated Move again today, pretty much on the dot. Same happened yesterday.
10/1/25 EOD - $SPY Market Tide (left), $SPY Holdings Premium (bottom right) on the day, SPY & $QQQ Premiums (top right).
9/30/25 EOD - $SPY Market Tide (left), $SPY Holdings Premium (bottom right) on the day, SPY & $QQQ Premiums (top right).
9/29/25 EOD - $SPY Market Tide (left), $SPY Holdings Premium (bottom right) on the day, SPY & $QQQ Premiums (top right).
In my Pre-market Plan for today (link in bio), I mentioned ES 6715 being my key level for bull/bear sentiment today. 6715 got sold into in the first 30m, bounced to make new highs during RTH, became IBL and was defended by sellers the rest of the day. Glad that level came into…
Happens way too often 😂 If I sell, spike happens and option goes 5x or more. Need to have a runner I can hide from myself lol.
Was looking for those 30m candles to get hit earlier, not flush lows, hang around for a while, then head back up 10m before close.
The old fail LOD and bounce back in the last 30m trick. Pretty much break-even with a few attempts at the bottom, still holding XSP 667c in case anything nutso happens lol. I'm going down with that ship.
NQ at VPOC. Needs to head toward the large LVN above from earlier. We'll see. Could just rotate around VPOC for a bit. Eh, I made my small play for the day, will let the market take it where it wants. Still think > ES 6715 with volume and higher is possible into EOD. Weak…
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