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On this theme, the great novel of trying, but failing, to achieve The American Dream is Wallace Stegner's *The Big Rock Candy Mountain*, which I re-read recently. Hardworking, talented guy keeps trying to strike it rich, comes close a few times but it always goes wrong.
The reason most men of past times did not choose the unsettled life of adventure was that it was very risky to do so. Most obviously, the physical dangers were often very real. You could die. But you could also just fail.
How do people in a rising power view their country's global standing? My new paper in @IntOrgJournal finds significant national overconfidence in China and shows that misperceptions can be corrected and triumphalism mitigated cup.org/49rBoKZ 崛起大国的过度自信及其校正
Out-rageously brilliant baritone sax by the great #PatPatrick, who arrived on planet Earth this day, tearing it up here with @SunRaUniverse... youtube.com/watch?v=3XjTO-…
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Biosphere Blues
The real data scandal in China is with the labor market not growth indicators. Lots of ways of getting a handle on cyclical momentum, very little real info on what’s happening with hiring and firing
This looks v good
The book “The Arc of the Chinese Economy" (co-edited with Marshall Meyer) is now available at: Cambridge University Press (Discount code: TAC25) cambridge.org/9781009649360 Also at Amazon: amazon.com/Arc-Chinese-Ec… for immediate shipping.
Four noteworthy points from this podcast (per the transcript): 1 -- “one of the big themes of the book is...the [economic] costs and benefits of [India’s] precocious democracy…it turns out that India is [an outlier] even amongst democracies” 2 -- “We think of China as having…
New #GrandTamasha: On their book launch day, I am delighted to sit down with Devesh Kapur & @arvindsubraman to discuss their landmark magnum opus, "A Sixth of Humanity: Independent India's Development Odyssey." Video: youtube.com/watch?v=yFwbuS… Podcast: grand-tamasha.simplecast.com/episodes/a-six…
Persian Carpet celebrating the successes of Soviet space travel, made by members of Iranian Tudeh Party (1965)
China's muscular international image belies a brittle public mood at home. My essay: nytimes.com/2025/11/13/opi…
Interesting long review
"The bitter irony is that by crushing every other form of investment as hard as it possibly could, but still leaving the door open for land, China somehow managed to out-West the West at ruinous financial speculation." From my book review of @Birdyword's "The Land Trap"
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