
Metaculus
@metaculus
Aggregating human & AI forecasts on critical topics. Bot Forecasting: http://metaculus.com/aib Partner w/ us: http://metaculus.com/services News: http://metaculus.com/news
你可能會喜歡
🏆 Metaculus Top Comments of the Week Each week we celebrate persuasive arguments, keen observations, and nuanced analysis from our forecasting community. Here are the comments that medaled for Sep 14-20. Links in thread. (Rankings finalize after a week of community voting.)
New MiniBench is live, running to Nov 8 with a $1,000 prize pool. Bot-only forecasting providing fast feedback. Learn more and compete: metaculus.com/tournament/min… And, some thoughtful analysis by competitor Jeff Mohl at Predictably, looking at calibration, hallucinations, and more:…

@metaculus is hiring for a few roles! Folks should DM me if they want to apply. Head of Consulting, Engineer, and a programs person: share.google/9P3Q6COynxadqF…
We launched a new prize: Win 10k for your most viral meme that infects the world with hope for an ambitious future.
$10,000 for a meme?! P(doom), the paperclip maximizer, Black Mirror, Brave New World, and 1984 are common references for dystopian futures. But where are the hopeful ones? For abundant clean energy, infinite knowledge, no infectious disease, no poverty, solved aging, and…
@metaculus is hiring for a head of consulting services! We're fully remote, the team is excellent, come work with me. Cat for visibility?? Link in comment

United States 趨勢
- 1. #DWTS 37K posts
- 2. Yamamoto 26.3K posts
- 3. Ohtani 12.8K posts
- 4. #DWCS 6,900 posts
- 5. #Dodgers 14.1K posts
- 6. #WWENXT 17K posts
- 7. Robert 104K posts
- 8. Haji Wright N/A
- 9. Carrie Ann 4,423 posts
- 10. #RHOSLC 3,945 posts
- 11. Brewers 37.9K posts
- 12. Roldan 2,353 posts
- 13. Young Republicans 57.2K posts
- 14. Elaine 57.9K posts
- 15. Whitney 15K posts
- 16. Yelich 1,653 posts
- 17. Max Muncy 4,032 posts
- 18. Politico 276K posts
- 19. Dylan 32.4K posts
- 20. Mr. Feeny 1,682 posts
你可能會喜歡
-
Scott Alexander
@slatestarcodex -
Joe Carlsmith
@jkcarlsmith -
Swift Centre
@swift_centre -
Michael Aird
@michael__aird -
Robin Hanson
@robinhanson -
EA Forum Posts
@EAForumPosts -
Effective Altruism
@EffectvAltruism -
Rethink Priorities
@RethinkPriors -
Nuño Sempere
@NunoSempere -
Amanda Askell
@AmandaAskell -
Good Judgment Inc
@superforecaster -
Kat Woods ⏸️ 🔶
@Kat__Woods -
Good Judgment Open
@GJ_Open -
Ollie Rodriguez (formerly Ollie Base)
@Ollie_Base -
Richard Ngo
@RichardMCNgo
Something went wrong.
Something went wrong.