Metaculus
@metaculus
Aggregating human & AI forecasts on critical topics. Bot Forecasting: http://metaculus.com/aib Partner w/ us: http://metaculus.com/services Updates: http://metaculus.com/news
Anda mungkin suka
Also: There's a $3,000 prize pool for solid question suggestions. (The 2026 contest itself will feature a $10,000 prize pool for forecast accuracy.)
Scott Alexander has an open call for 2026 question suggestions for @metaculus, the non-crypto, non-financial polymarket :) docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…
We / @degerturann will hold office hours at Vision Weekend. Come talk to us!
Vision Weekend by @foresightinst is only a few weeks away, so here’s a megapost with what, who, why, where: - Friday, Dec 5: join our VIP pre-party at Altos Labs to hear fellow and grantee highlights and meet Foresight’s core before the storm - Saturday, Dec 6: come to Internet…
👀
To be a Political Science Expert for Mercor, a must-have is forecasting experience!
Will Elon Musk have quadruple the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2030? The Community Prediction rose 23 points. Make your prediction. Join the conversation. Link in 🧵.
Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025? The Community Prediction fell 21 points. Make your prediction. Join the conversation. Link in 🧵.
When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in? The Community Prediction moved earlier by 4 days. Make your prediction. Join the conversation. Link in 🧵.
How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025? The Community Prediction fell 4.7 provinces. Make your prediction. Join the conversation. Link in 🧵.
Call for animal-focused forecasting questions - @metaculus forecasting tournament — EA Forum forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pxYdSh3h…
United States Tren
- 1. Caleb Love 2,947 posts
- 2. Mamdani 475K posts
- 3. Marjorie Taylor Greene 73K posts
- 4. Sengun 8,787 posts
- 5. Reed Sheppard 3,914 posts
- 6. Suns 21.4K posts
- 7. Morgan Geekie N/A
- 8. Norvell 3,570 posts
- 9. Lando 49.5K posts
- 10. Kerr 5,292 posts
- 11. UNLV 2,269 posts
- 12. #SmackDown 48K posts
- 13. Collin Gillespie 4,128 posts
- 14. #DBLF2025 13.7K posts
- 15. Blazers 4,081 posts
- 16. Wolves 16.8K posts
- 17. The View 99.7K posts
- 18. Rockets 16.9K posts
- 19. Florida State 10.9K posts
- 20. #LasVegasGP 76K posts
Anda mungkin suka
-
Scott Alexander
@slatestarcodex -
Joe Carlsmith
@jkcarlsmith -
Swift Centre
@swift_centre -
Robin Hanson
@robinhanson -
EA Forum Posts
@EAForumPosts -
Effective Altruism
@EffectvAltruism -
Rethink Priorities
@RethinkPriors -
Nuño Sempere (Asunción)
@NunoSempere -
Amanda Askell
@AmandaAskell -
Good Judgment Inc
@superforecaster -
Kat Woods ⏸️ 🔶
@Kat__Woods -
Good Judgment Open
@GJ_Open -
MetaculusBot
@MetaculusBot -
Ollie Rodriguez (formerly Ollie Base)
@Ollie_Base -
Richard Ngo
@RichardMCNgo
Something went wrong.
Something went wrong.